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Join us as we gather around the hedge,

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where we dig into technology, business, and culture

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with the finest minds in computer networking.

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Hello, Tom.

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Hello, Russ.

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The plant is back and looking healthy. Is

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that a new plant? No. It's back. It's

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looking healthy, and I got a lot more

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light in this room now because of the

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rearrangement. So I think the plant's happy with

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me. You sent it to the plant hospital

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and

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Yeah. It convalesced there and then came back.

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And today, we are joined by with Jeff

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or by Jeff Houston.

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So, Jeff, are you in Australia with your

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bears and and and

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and

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and

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Various bits of native wildlife. Yes. I'm in

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Australia at the moment, at the height of

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summer.

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So, yes, it's it's it's a it's a

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wonderful time at that point because, you know,

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winter's winter. But,

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what can I say?

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Yes. Yes. Yes. We all know about winter.

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Well, we all know about Australia.

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We've all heard it's a great place to

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visit as long as you avoid the wildlife.

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Everyone's got a week. Just remember that. Everyone's

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got a week.

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Even the even the crocs.

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I have seen the videos

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of the kangaroos

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beating up on people. Okay?

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Yeah. Well, they're not cute and cuddly. Just

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remember that.

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So today, we're talking about v four address

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of the BGP table. Right? The BGP table.

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And what's going on with the BGP table?

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Alright. So talk to me. Has the BGP

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table grown? Is it smaller?

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Has it, like, exponential?

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Is it

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more flappy?

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Is

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it more flappy?

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The thing to remember about the BGP table

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is that no one's in charge.

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Absolutely no one.

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And when you wanna sort of join the

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Internet or add more things into the Internet

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in terms of reachability,

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no permission.

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Just do it.

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Right? So you've got this system

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where everyone has to carry

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BGP tables. Everyone has to carry that information,

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but there's no gatekeeper

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on getting there.

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It's a completely

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unconstrained

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system.

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So

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when you buy your next router

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and you go, well, it's gotta last for

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at least five years because it was a

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big expensive beastie, and I paid some vendor

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heaps of money, blah blah blah, then then

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the issue is, how big?

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Do I need

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a million entries in the routing table? Do

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I need 2,000,000? Do I need 10,000,000? Now

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the thing to remember about this is that

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I suspect that

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the router line card memory is the most

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expensive memory you could buy.

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Because as we keep on upping our transmission

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speeds, and, you know, I've just heard someone

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has done terabit fibre,

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then that's an awful lot of packets per

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second.

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Which means an awful lot of silicon working

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very, very hard

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to look up the destination address of these

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packets

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for every packet.

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Now, if you've got a million entries in

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your routing table,

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no matter how you pack that up, that's

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going to be 20 lookups.

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So in any kind of binary chop in

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the most efficient mechanism, it might well be

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more.

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That's a lot of work when you're trying

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to shovel through a few hundred million packets

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per second.

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So

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the size of the table

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is actually crucially important. And it's not just

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the size of the table today.

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It's the size of the table

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near the end of the lifetime of the

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router you've just bought.

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Because if you buy a router to cope

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with today,

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if the table's growing, you've got a problem

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tomorrow.

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And so looking at the size of the

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BGP routing table and its dynamic behaviour

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is actually critically important for

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literally everyone who routes the internet.

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Okay? So not a small question.

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Very big question if your job is pushing

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packets.

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And by the way, line card memory is

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not just

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in terms of entries. It's also length of

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entry and a lot of forwarding tables

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and a lot of forwarding engines. Because

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longer entries take up more space, blah, blah,

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blah,

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types of things that you can run into.

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And so, yeah. It's The disaster that is

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v six. Yes. That's what I was gonna

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say. Yes. V six is where this becomes

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an issue. And so therefore, yeah, you you

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it's not just it's also rate of change

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and all those other things like that as

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well.

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Yeah. We we can get on to that.

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So

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let's just talk quickly about v four. And

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the issue about v four is it was

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tracking

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an exponential trend accrue through much of the

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naughties of the February.

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It was the expansion of the internet into

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true mass market retail. And, you know, the

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line was indeed up and to the right

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and growing pretty quickly.

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But at the same time, the pool of

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addresses

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that we were using to feed that growth

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was reaching its end. This is the whole

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reason about v six. We predicted it back

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in 1990 that we'd run out and, you

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know, true to form, a bit later than

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we had thought, but nevertheless,

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we ran out.

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Now, if this was the telephone network

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of days gone by, when you ran out

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of telephone numbers, you ran out of telephones

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to connect.

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Simple as that. But in the internet, you've

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kind of got these computers all over the

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place

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who are able to do clever things.

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Share addresses.

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Fake the fact that you haven't got enough

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by sharing them around, sharing them over time,

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and even invading some of the, what we

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call, the port number space in TCP and

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UDP,

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and sort of squeezing

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10 or even 20 computers onto one IP

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address

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by by sharing out some pools of port

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numbers to each of them.

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And so even though we were running out

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in the in February and 02/2010

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and onward,

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the growth of the Internet didn't stop.

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Just didn't.

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We're running on empty, but no one seemed

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to know or care.

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And this bizarre situation carried on for,

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jeez, right up until around 2021.

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Just growth.

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At the time when the central pools ran

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out, we had about, oh,

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100,000

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entries in the routing table.

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By the time things are getting a bit

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tight in 2021, we're having 950,000

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entries in the routing table.

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Wow.

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What a collective act of juggling.

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And it was only really in the last

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three years

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that

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the pace of growth has slackened off.

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And instead of rising by, you know,

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60 to a hundred thousand entries per year,

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which is where it was heading, the growth

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rate's now a lot, lot slower.

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It's

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around 40,000

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entries per year.

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It's still rising. Absolutely. And we're now at

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about a million entries in the routing table.

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But that frenetic pace of growth

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is slackening off.

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We're doing around about a hundred new entries

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a day in the v four routing table.

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So is that a problem?

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Good question.

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Yeah. Could be.

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Could be. Right?

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You're juggling you're juggling around two things. And

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and one thing is Moore's law,

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where we're able, or have been so far,

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to cram twice as many gates into a

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silicon chip about every eighteen months and do

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so at pretty constant price.

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So if the cost of routing is, you

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know,

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$1 per unit of of of routing table,

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then as long as your growth is is

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less than doubling every 18,

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theoretically, there are chips around in eighteen months'

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time that have double the capacity at the

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same price.

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Theoretically.

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I was gonna say Moore's law is dead.

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Right? I mean, that's what I'm dealing with.

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Moore's law is completely dead. Is dead.

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We're we're down at

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at small numbers of nanometers,

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three, four, five.

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We don't know how to get to one.

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It's kind of the width of a silicon

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atom. This is this is physics is getting

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in the way, and and further prodigious growth

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is kind of not.

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And what it also means is you can't

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just count on the future to solve today's

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problem if you do nothing. Moore's Law won't

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come to your rescue.

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That's kind of the first problem.

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The second problem, though, is that we've yet

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to actually figure out how far we can

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push photons.

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And while

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we're getting fiber optic systems

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that still increase in channel capacity,

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we've got this underlying issue of, well, what

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do you do with the silicon at either

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end of the fiber?

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Because

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so far, we've done extraordinary things in digital

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signal processing, and it's not stopping yet.

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Yet.

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And, you know, the latest announcement, one terabit

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per channel. And that's kind of, wow. That's

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a huge amount of packets hitting the silicon.

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So it's the Now, now, is this silicon

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photonics,

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or is this still electrical interface?

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Digital signal processing. It's trying to extract the

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digital signal out of the photonics.

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Okay. Right. Okay. And there's a relationship between,

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if you will, how good it is,

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versus the track width on on the underlying

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chip. What you've gotta do is

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to get more capacity out of a fiber

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signal, you've actually got to put more points

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in phase amplitude coding space, in Fourier space.

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And the sensitivity of detecting that actually depends

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on how good your signal processes are, which

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depends on how many gates you can stuff

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in a square centimeter of silicon, basically. Right.

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Yeah. You know, the two are directly related.

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What about what about the growth?

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Do you have a sense of are we

277
00:10:36,884 --> 00:10:38,565
getting are we getting short are we getting

278
00:10:38,565 --> 00:10:40,620
longer prefixes announced now if we're up to

279
00:10:40,620 --> 00:10:41,980
a hundred if we're down to a hundred

280
00:10:41,980 --> 00:10:44,540
a day, or what's the what's the size

281
00:10:44,540 --> 00:10:45,920
distribution looking like?

282
00:10:47,340 --> 00:10:49,840
That's a linear increase, and and linear's

283
00:10:50,220 --> 00:10:51,279
kind of good,

284
00:10:51,980 --> 00:10:52,480
kinda.

285
00:10:54,504 --> 00:10:56,584
Just depends on how long it lasts and

286
00:10:56,584 --> 00:10:57,784
what the rate of lending is. It does

287
00:10:57,784 --> 00:10:59,704
depend on how long it lasts. But but,

288
00:10:59,704 --> 00:11:02,264
in essence, what's going on right now is

289
00:11:02,264 --> 00:11:04,845
that the average announcement size in in BGP

290
00:11:05,384 --> 00:11:08,204
is still around 3,200

291
00:11:08,345 --> 00:11:09,164
IP addresses.

292
00:11:09,799 --> 00:11:10,620
So it's

293
00:11:11,639 --> 00:11:13,019
slash 20 or so.

294
00:11:13,559 --> 00:11:16,039
We haven't we haven't got to everything's a

295
00:11:16,039 --> 00:11:17,100
slash 24.

296
00:11:17,799 --> 00:11:19,959
If we did, we'd have 4,000,000,000 entries in

297
00:11:19,959 --> 00:11:21,419
the routing table, and

298
00:11:21,875 --> 00:11:24,914
things would melt. You know, 1,000,000 is still

299
00:11:24,914 --> 00:11:25,735
pretty low

300
00:11:26,274 --> 00:11:27,575
in the scheme of things.

301
00:11:29,475 --> 00:11:31,095
The interesting news in v4

302
00:11:32,034 --> 00:11:33,954
is I think it's time to start talking

303
00:11:33,954 --> 00:11:36,375
about the saturation word, the s word.

304
00:11:37,460 --> 00:11:38,840
The pace of growth

305
00:11:39,460 --> 00:11:40,200
is actually

306
00:11:41,059 --> 00:11:42,120
slackening off,

307
00:11:42,660 --> 00:11:43,160
that

308
00:11:43,700 --> 00:11:47,320
the previous heady days of 200 new entries

309
00:11:47,379 --> 00:11:48,120
per day

310
00:11:48,500 --> 00:11:49,240
and more

311
00:11:49,779 --> 00:11:51,320
is now pretty much gone.

312
00:11:51,934 --> 00:11:53,774
And while there are certainly some days that

313
00:11:53,774 --> 00:11:55,554
are exceptions in the routing table,

314
00:11:56,095 --> 00:11:57,875
we're 100 and falling.

315
00:11:58,894 --> 00:12:01,375
A hundred and falling. And that's the number

316
00:12:01,375 --> 00:12:02,115
of ASs.

317
00:12:02,735 --> 00:12:04,034
It's the pace of growth.

318
00:12:04,815 --> 00:12:05,460
The big

319
00:12:05,779 --> 00:12:06,840
Asian powerhouses

320
00:12:07,379 --> 00:12:08,679
of v4 growth

321
00:12:08,980 --> 00:12:09,800
have stopped.

322
00:12:10,420 --> 00:12:13,540
By and large, they're substituting v six wherever

323
00:12:13,540 --> 00:12:15,960
they can because, you know, it's cheaper,

324
00:12:17,540 --> 00:12:18,980
because you don't have to work on the

325
00:12:18,980 --> 00:12:19,480
market

326
00:12:20,165 --> 00:12:21,144
to buy addresses,

327
00:12:21,605 --> 00:12:25,465
v4 addresses at still what is kicking around

328
00:12:26,004 --> 00:12:27,945
$30 to $50 an address.

329
00:12:28,644 --> 00:12:31,225
V six is nowhere near that cost. So

330
00:12:32,085 --> 00:12:33,945
in some ways, the growth factors

331
00:12:34,730 --> 00:12:36,350
in v four are coming down.

332
00:12:37,370 --> 00:12:40,269
It seems that the best of the mathematical

333
00:12:40,409 --> 00:12:42,250
projections in v four, if you try and

334
00:12:42,250 --> 00:12:44,029
curve fit the last five years,

335
00:12:44,970 --> 00:12:47,769
tend to suggest that we're close to peak

336
00:12:47,769 --> 00:12:48,509
v four.

337
00:12:50,745 --> 00:12:53,004
Around about a million entries. And

338
00:12:53,625 --> 00:12:55,325
if those mathematical projections

339
00:12:56,024 --> 00:12:58,985
have any sort of backing to it, that's

340
00:12:58,985 --> 00:13:00,825
where it's going to sit for some years

341
00:13:00,825 --> 00:13:02,764
and then possibly decline.

342
00:13:03,384 --> 00:13:04,924
But that's just maths.

343
00:13:05,919 --> 00:13:06,740
The sociological

344
00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:08,419
sort of pressure is

345
00:13:08,879 --> 00:13:11,039
once it's viable to run v six only

346
00:13:11,039 --> 00:13:11,539
networks,

347
00:13:13,279 --> 00:13:15,199
v four has a real problem. And it's

348
00:13:15,199 --> 00:13:17,220
more like a cliff than a gentle decline

349
00:13:17,600 --> 00:13:18,659
once it's viable.

350
00:13:19,495 --> 00:13:20,954
And part of the reason is

351
00:13:21,654 --> 00:13:22,475
we're now

352
00:13:23,334 --> 00:13:25,754
way inside scarcity price premiums,

353
00:13:26,855 --> 00:13:27,995
scarcity costs.

354
00:13:28,774 --> 00:13:31,274
And that's what's driving, if you will,

355
00:13:31,919 --> 00:13:32,980
this thing about,

356
00:13:33,679 --> 00:13:35,200
well, if I've got a problem and I

357
00:13:35,200 --> 00:13:37,839
need to expand a network right now here

358
00:13:37,839 --> 00:13:38,339
today,

359
00:13:39,440 --> 00:13:41,839
I can buy more v six addresses sorry,

360
00:13:41,839 --> 00:13:43,519
v four addresses, or I can get some

361
00:13:43,519 --> 00:13:44,179
v six.

362
00:13:45,985 --> 00:13:47,764
The only thing that's happening

363
00:13:48,225 --> 00:13:49,605
in the v4 space

364
00:13:50,065 --> 00:13:51,204
are actually clouds,

365
00:13:52,625 --> 00:13:54,164
the only thing that's clouds.

366
00:13:54,784 --> 00:13:55,284
And

367
00:13:55,985 --> 00:13:56,644
the last

368
00:13:57,424 --> 00:13:57,924
big,

369
00:13:58,279 --> 00:14:00,940
big increase in the amount of addresses advertised

370
00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:02,700
in the

371
00:14:03,720 --> 00:14:04,620
routing space,

372
00:14:05,639 --> 00:14:09,000
the size, if you will, expressed in number

373
00:14:09,000 --> 00:14:11,019
of entries in the routing table,

374
00:14:11,784 --> 00:14:14,044
is actually a massive increase by Amazon.

375
00:14:14,985 --> 00:14:16,504
Bill, on the, I think it was the

376
00:14:16,504 --> 00:14:17,565
December 12,

377
00:14:18,985 --> 00:14:20,445
pumped up another, you know,

378
00:14:22,904 --> 00:14:23,965
80,000,000

379
00:14:24,105 --> 00:14:24,605
addresses.

380
00:14:25,879 --> 00:14:28,139
So it's not the clients, it's the clouds.

381
00:14:28,679 --> 00:14:30,620
It's the other side. And interestingly,

382
00:14:31,000 --> 00:14:32,299
it's only Amazon.

383
00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:35,019
It's not everyone else in the cloud business.

384
00:14:35,720 --> 00:14:37,320
Lots of the others who are in the

385
00:14:37,320 --> 00:14:39,160
cloud business are doing it on v four

386
00:14:39,160 --> 00:14:39,899
with NATS.

387
00:14:40,315 --> 00:14:42,715
But for some reason, Amazon has sort of

388
00:14:42,715 --> 00:14:44,955
pulled together a large amount of addresses and

389
00:14:44,955 --> 00:14:47,455
and bumped it into the routing table,

390
00:14:47,995 --> 00:14:50,715
as v four connectivity, which is, you know,

391
00:14:50,715 --> 00:14:52,715
unusual, but they know what they're doing, I'm

392
00:14:52,715 --> 00:14:53,215
sure.

393
00:14:56,610 --> 00:14:57,990
Interesting. So so

394
00:14:58,610 --> 00:15:00,529
yeah. So that means that we're gonna be

395
00:15:00,529 --> 00:15:02,929
watching the v four space not continue to

396
00:15:02,929 --> 00:15:03,429
grow,

397
00:15:04,129 --> 00:15:05,889
but the v six space is gonna start

398
00:15:05,970 --> 00:15:08,450
v six. Yeah? Yes. Which means v six

399
00:15:08,450 --> 00:15:10,665
space is gonna take off, which is not

400
00:15:10,665 --> 00:15:13,245
necessarily a good thing because I don't know.

401
00:15:13,304 --> 00:15:15,465
You know, the average what what is the

402
00:15:15,465 --> 00:15:18,285
average advertisement length in v six right now?

403
00:15:18,424 --> 00:15:19,725
Slash 32.

404
00:15:20,585 --> 00:15:23,070
Okay. So two to the thirty second is?

405
00:15:23,789 --> 00:15:24,529
4,000,000,000.

406
00:15:25,470 --> 00:15:26,450
Yeah. So

407
00:15:27,389 --> 00:15:28,450
4,000,000,000 advertisements.

408
00:15:30,429 --> 00:15:33,710
Actually, it it's kinda weird because the v

409
00:15:33,710 --> 00:15:35,090
six phase is almost

410
00:15:36,029 --> 00:15:37,169
split in half.

411
00:15:37,634 --> 00:15:41,095
The most common prefix is a slash 48.

412
00:15:42,514 --> 00:15:44,274
And if you care to do your maths,

413
00:15:44,274 --> 00:15:46,035
two to the 48 is a very, very

414
00:15:46,035 --> 00:15:46,774
big number,

415
00:15:47,634 --> 00:15:50,215
bigger than, you know, we can cope with.

416
00:15:50,675 --> 00:15:53,740
And so if v six took off and

417
00:15:53,740 --> 00:15:56,320
everyone has their own v six address and

418
00:15:56,940 --> 00:15:59,019
everyone tries to separately announce it in the

419
00:15:59,019 --> 00:16:02,300
routing table, you know, ain't gonna work. Just

420
00:16:02,300 --> 00:16:02,800
ain't.

421
00:16:03,740 --> 00:16:06,540
The v six routing table has a similar

422
00:16:06,540 --> 00:16:07,279
sort of

423
00:16:07,705 --> 00:16:09,725
life and profile to v4,

424
00:16:10,424 --> 00:16:12,825
except it's sort of pushed ten years in

425
00:16:12,825 --> 00:16:13,485
the future.

426
00:16:14,264 --> 00:16:16,745
Where the early days of the internet and

427
00:16:16,745 --> 00:16:19,304
v4 were exponential growth through the '90s and

428
00:16:19,304 --> 00:16:20,125
early '00s,

429
00:16:20,920 --> 00:16:21,740
v six,

430
00:16:22,279 --> 00:16:25,019
that same exponential growth has occurred

431
00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:26,860
in the 2010s.

432
00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:31,980
And it sort of ramped up. But interestingly,

433
00:16:32,519 --> 00:16:34,700
the same slackening off

434
00:16:35,485 --> 00:16:38,045
that we saw in v four, we actually

435
00:16:38,045 --> 00:16:39,105
see in v six.

436
00:16:39,804 --> 00:16:41,504
And even more interestingly,

437
00:16:43,644 --> 00:16:46,365
the relative growth, v four, it's come down

438
00:16:46,365 --> 00:16:48,205
from 200 a day to a hundred a

439
00:16:48,205 --> 00:16:50,899
day, new entries per day. In v six,

440
00:16:50,899 --> 00:16:53,860
it never got to 200 a day except

441
00:16:53,860 --> 00:16:55,079
for one day

442
00:16:55,459 --> 00:16:57,159
in 02/2001.

443
00:16:58,740 --> 00:17:01,159
It it's always been, even this massive exponential

444
00:17:01,220 --> 00:17:03,595
growth of v six. It was growing from

445
00:17:03,595 --> 00:17:05,835
50 entries a day, and this, you know,

446
00:17:05,835 --> 00:17:08,394
finally got to 200. Immediately afterwards, it came

447
00:17:08,394 --> 00:17:09,134
down again.

448
00:17:09,515 --> 00:17:11,375
It's currently growing at about

449
00:17:11,674 --> 00:17:14,015
50 to 60 new entries a day.

450
00:17:14,394 --> 00:17:16,714
So the growth rate's actually slower than v

451
00:17:16,714 --> 00:17:17,214
four.

452
00:17:17,835 --> 00:17:20,069
I wonder why that is given the pressure

453
00:17:21,409 --> 00:17:23,890
on as as the pressure comes off v

454
00:17:23,890 --> 00:17:25,890
four, why? Is it just because these

455
00:17:26,529 --> 00:17:28,210
when you look at a slash 32, it

456
00:17:28,210 --> 00:17:30,130
contains so much that you don't have to

457
00:17:30,130 --> 00:17:32,914
advertise very many of them to cover lots

458
00:17:32,914 --> 00:17:35,575
of stuff? We've given every person

459
00:17:36,515 --> 00:17:39,075
a a computer device. We've given them five.

460
00:17:39,075 --> 00:17:41,414
We're even putting SIM cards in watches.

461
00:17:43,474 --> 00:17:45,394
So where's it gonna grow? Yeah. Don't don't

462
00:17:45,394 --> 00:17:46,140
David. Like

463
00:17:46,700 --> 00:17:47,920
Now, where's the growth?

464
00:17:49,019 --> 00:17:49,680
You know?

465
00:17:50,140 --> 00:17:52,140
At at some point, you've gotta look at

466
00:17:52,140 --> 00:17:55,180
the underlying market dynamics and really do ask

467
00:17:55,180 --> 00:17:55,680
yourself,

468
00:17:56,700 --> 00:17:57,839
where is the next

469
00:17:58,140 --> 00:17:59,839
double in size for the Internet?

470
00:18:00,445 --> 00:18:03,105
It isn't devices you carry because

471
00:18:03,404 --> 00:18:05,565
they're too expensive to double in size because

472
00:18:05,565 --> 00:18:08,525
everyone's got one. It's not cars. It's not

473
00:18:08,525 --> 00:18:09,025
watches.

474
00:18:09,484 --> 00:18:11,904
Certainly not, you know, stand alone computers.

475
00:18:13,660 --> 00:18:16,299
It's not even household devices because we netted

476
00:18:16,299 --> 00:18:16,799
them.

477
00:18:17,740 --> 00:18:18,140
So

478
00:18:18,619 --> 00:18:20,779
Yeah. And and and and and, actually, there's

479
00:18:20,779 --> 00:18:22,400
starting to be blowback on that.

480
00:18:22,700 --> 00:18:24,059
I mean, if you go out on any

481
00:18:24,059 --> 00:18:26,720
social media site of whatever size or whatever,

482
00:18:27,194 --> 00:18:29,934
almost everybody who's a tech person will say,

483
00:18:30,474 --> 00:18:32,474
none of my locks are connected to the

484
00:18:32,474 --> 00:18:33,694
Internet. Thank you.

485
00:18:37,274 --> 00:18:38,494
And, you know,

486
00:18:39,034 --> 00:18:40,575
I think there's a fair deal of

487
00:18:40,954 --> 00:18:41,615
that resistance

488
00:18:42,630 --> 00:18:45,109
to opening up new markets now. We've we've

489
00:18:45,109 --> 00:18:46,869
just kind of done what we can in

490
00:18:46,869 --> 00:18:47,930
this tech mania,

491
00:18:48,710 --> 00:18:50,710
but but now it's kind of a more

492
00:18:50,710 --> 00:18:51,849
sober outlook.

493
00:18:52,150 --> 00:18:54,710
And that more sober outlook actually points to

494
00:18:54,710 --> 00:18:55,690
market saturation.

495
00:18:56,565 --> 00:18:57,065
And

496
00:18:57,365 --> 00:18:59,684
so v six is not, oh my god,

497
00:18:59,684 --> 00:19:01,365
there's this huge amount of v four that

498
00:19:01,365 --> 00:19:02,345
we've gotta cover.

499
00:19:04,964 --> 00:19:05,464
So

500
00:19:06,164 --> 00:19:07,224
what's the prospects?

501
00:19:08,619 --> 00:19:10,140
Yeah. So so that's why I asked about

502
00:19:10,140 --> 00:19:11,819
v six and the space it takes. Right?

503
00:19:11,819 --> 00:19:13,679
So if you take a slash 32,

504
00:19:14,299 --> 00:19:16,460
you could I don't know what how what

505
00:19:16,460 --> 00:19:18,299
is it? It's a slash one twenty eight.

506
00:19:18,299 --> 00:19:20,140
So even if you take the slash 32

507
00:19:20,140 --> 00:19:22,984
out, you know, you're looking at 4,200,000,000

508
00:19:23,125 --> 00:19:24,264
ish addresses

509
00:19:24,724 --> 00:19:27,204
in the slash 32 that are usable, even

510
00:19:27,204 --> 00:19:28,884
if you're doing slash 60 fours on all

511
00:19:28,884 --> 00:19:29,625
your hosts.

512
00:19:30,164 --> 00:19:30,904
So, like,

513
00:19:31,204 --> 00:19:33,204
you don't need to advertise a lot of

514
00:19:33,204 --> 00:19:35,524
slash 30 twos on the global on the

515
00:19:35,524 --> 00:19:36,024
DFZ

516
00:19:37,340 --> 00:19:39,580
to cover a lot of devices. Ah, the

517
00:19:39,580 --> 00:19:41,820
misery that is the misery that is v

518
00:19:41,820 --> 00:19:42,320
six.

519
00:19:42,859 --> 00:19:45,359
So if you're if you're a router vendor,

520
00:19:46,539 --> 00:19:48,320
then you can't assume

521
00:19:49,694 --> 00:19:52,674
that everyone routes to slash 48 or smaller.

522
00:19:53,375 --> 00:19:55,234
You can't make your internals

523
00:19:55,615 --> 00:19:56,994
48 bits wide.

524
00:19:57,694 --> 00:20:00,414
Your lookup tables are a 28

525
00:20:00,414 --> 00:20:02,974
bits wide. They're four times the size of

526
00:20:02,974 --> 00:20:05,580
v four. So the dear old routing table

527
00:20:05,580 --> 00:20:07,740
in v six, which is now kicking around

528
00:20:07,740 --> 00:20:08,700
200,000

529
00:20:08,700 --> 00:20:09,200
entries,

530
00:20:10,220 --> 00:20:11,359
is the equivalent

531
00:20:12,059 --> 00:20:13,259
of 800,000

532
00:20:13,259 --> 00:20:15,840
v four entries. It's the same size.

533
00:20:17,515 --> 00:20:20,075
And as I said, the sad fact is

534
00:20:20,075 --> 00:20:21,855
no one routes one twenty eights.

535
00:20:22,234 --> 00:20:24,555
No one routes 60 fours. We don't accept

536
00:20:24,555 --> 00:20:27,835
that. So most of that massive silicon out

537
00:20:27,835 --> 00:20:30,734
there sitting inside all these forwarding tables,

538
00:20:31,289 --> 00:20:33,710
in v four's in v six's case,

539
00:20:34,410 --> 00:20:36,269
two thirds is zero.

540
00:20:37,289 --> 00:20:37,789
Zero.

541
00:20:38,570 --> 00:20:40,750
You know? You're not actually using

542
00:20:41,049 --> 00:20:42,190
the bottom bits.

543
00:20:43,625 --> 00:20:45,884
Yep. And it it leads to the

544
00:20:46,424 --> 00:20:48,044
rather weird conclusion

545
00:20:49,144 --> 00:20:51,065
that V 6 is the same size as

546
00:20:51,065 --> 00:20:52,444
V 4, really.

547
00:20:54,744 --> 00:20:56,609
And and if we think, oh, well, we've

548
00:20:56,609 --> 00:20:59,009
filled up V 4, and we have, let's

549
00:20:59,009 --> 00:21:00,150
turn to V 6.

550
00:21:01,730 --> 00:21:02,630
But hang on.

551
00:21:03,329 --> 00:21:05,029
It's the same size, dude.

552
00:21:05,650 --> 00:21:06,789
It's no bigger.

553
00:21:07,970 --> 00:21:10,369
It doesn't give you huge amounts of space

554
00:21:10,369 --> 00:21:12,875
because we zeroed that out and don't let

555
00:21:12,875 --> 00:21:13,934
people route it.

556
00:21:15,434 --> 00:21:16,894
So we give homes

557
00:21:17,275 --> 00:21:18,654
a slash 48.

558
00:21:19,835 --> 00:21:22,494
Let me understand this. We give them

559
00:21:23,035 --> 00:21:26,414
how many bits of addressable space per home?

560
00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:31,500
80 bits. Yeah. I guess that's yeah. Yeah.

561
00:21:31,559 --> 00:21:33,820
We're, yeah, we're giving away slash 40 eights

562
00:21:34,039 --> 00:21:36,859
to most networks even at the enterprise level,

563
00:21:37,240 --> 00:21:38,539
not even to a campus.

564
00:21:39,174 --> 00:21:41,335
But, like, I just like, if I have

565
00:21:41,335 --> 00:21:43,575
a data center, I give the data center

566
00:21:43,575 --> 00:21:46,154
a slash, I don't know, 42

567
00:21:46,615 --> 00:21:48,695
or something like that or slash 40 or

568
00:21:48,695 --> 00:21:51,174
something. Right? Yeah. And I use slash 40

569
00:21:51,174 --> 00:21:52,154
eights for everything.

570
00:21:52,950 --> 00:21:55,509
My house. Slash 48. I don't have two

571
00:21:55,509 --> 00:21:57,289
to the eightieth bits of silicon.

572
00:21:57,909 --> 00:22:00,470
I can't imagine Yeah. A a world where

573
00:22:00,470 --> 00:22:02,789
even that would be possible. What is it?

574
00:22:02,789 --> 00:22:04,950
Awesome. My my my summary my summary of

575
00:22:04,950 --> 00:22:06,630
that is it's pretty easy to give away

576
00:22:06,630 --> 00:22:07,130
addresses.

577
00:22:07,595 --> 00:22:09,515
It's pretty hard to to and it's impossible

578
00:22:09,515 --> 00:22:10,575
to give away TCAM.

579
00:22:11,195 --> 00:22:11,695
Right?

580
00:22:12,154 --> 00:22:13,674
Like and I think that's I I don't

581
00:22:13,674 --> 00:22:15,755
know. I I find it funny. I would

582
00:22:15,755 --> 00:22:17,994
have assumed that people designing all these all

583
00:22:17,994 --> 00:22:19,615
the aggregation and all the rules,

584
00:22:20,369 --> 00:22:22,609
I find it funny that they seemingly were

585
00:22:22,609 --> 00:22:24,450
oblivious that there is a physical world in

586
00:22:24,450 --> 00:22:26,869
which this has to live. Like Nobody's

587
00:22:27,170 --> 00:22:27,910
in charge.

588
00:22:29,329 --> 00:22:31,589
Just remember that. Nobody's in charge.

589
00:22:32,130 --> 00:22:34,789
All of this works by mumblings in markets.

590
00:22:36,794 --> 00:22:39,534
And, you know, the address allocation policy

591
00:22:39,914 --> 00:22:42,474
was not driven by folk who make silicon

592
00:22:42,474 --> 00:22:44,015
devices that switch packets.

593
00:22:44,554 --> 00:22:46,875
Was not. Well, I'm not sure now that

594
00:22:46,875 --> 00:22:49,355
you say this. Maybe it was. Maybe it

595
00:22:49,355 --> 00:22:51,509
was maybe it was a clever marketing

596
00:22:51,809 --> 00:22:52,309
campaign.

597
00:22:53,410 --> 00:22:55,109
Cisco would be fine with all.

598
00:22:55,490 --> 00:22:55,990
Beautiful.

599
00:22:56,289 --> 00:22:58,289
Oh, I am. It was them. It was

600
00:22:58,289 --> 00:23:00,450
them that did this insanity. But, you know,

601
00:23:00,450 --> 00:23:02,769
the the issue was no one could kind

602
00:23:02,769 --> 00:23:05,714
of force the issue. And if one particular

603
00:23:05,775 --> 00:23:07,554
area goes, I've got pain,

604
00:23:08,015 --> 00:23:10,194
everyone else goes, get over it.

605
00:23:11,294 --> 00:23:13,875
And so we get these odd, just absolutely

606
00:23:14,095 --> 00:23:14,914
odd outcomes.

607
00:23:15,454 --> 00:23:17,315
Oh, we've got so many addresses.

608
00:23:17,830 --> 00:23:20,869
Let's rebuild v six in the precise image

609
00:23:20,869 --> 00:23:21,609
of v4.

610
00:23:22,470 --> 00:23:23,609
Precise image.

611
00:23:23,910 --> 00:23:25,930
So there's actually no incremental benefit.

612
00:23:27,910 --> 00:23:29,130
And then you wonder

613
00:23:29,750 --> 00:23:30,250
why

614
00:23:30,744 --> 00:23:32,825
the folk who are currently running v four,

615
00:23:32,825 --> 00:23:35,304
and it's around two thirds of users out

616
00:23:35,304 --> 00:23:35,804
there,

617
00:23:36,184 --> 00:23:38,505
don't have v six. You wonder why they

618
00:23:38,505 --> 00:23:40,284
don't feel any pressure to move.

619
00:23:41,224 --> 00:23:42,924
There's no new market. It works.

620
00:23:43,250 --> 00:23:45,730
Amazon just did this enormous amount of v

621
00:23:45,730 --> 00:23:47,910
four address space into the routing table.

622
00:23:49,570 --> 00:23:51,029
What's their v six plan?

623
00:23:51,330 --> 00:23:53,090
I don't know. It works. Their v four

624
00:23:53,090 --> 00:23:53,670
is is

625
00:23:54,850 --> 00:23:56,789
is still there and still going gangbusters.

626
00:23:57,974 --> 00:24:00,315
And so we're we're sitting in this sort

627
00:24:00,454 --> 00:24:01,994
of dual stack world,

628
00:24:02,535 --> 00:24:04,714
and we've hit this dual stack world

629
00:24:05,095 --> 00:24:07,575
at the point where market saturation and Moore's

630
00:24:07,575 --> 00:24:09,414
law coming to an end come to a

631
00:24:09,414 --> 00:24:09,914
nexus.

632
00:24:11,410 --> 00:24:13,009
And what I think we're going to see

633
00:24:13,009 --> 00:24:13,509
is

634
00:24:14,049 --> 00:24:16,549
this transition to a v six only network,

635
00:24:16,930 --> 00:24:19,590
we will continue to bleat on wood

636
00:24:20,529 --> 00:24:22,549
and mumble about, you know, in some halcyon

637
00:24:22,609 --> 00:24:24,289
day in the future, it'll be v six

638
00:24:24,289 --> 00:24:24,789
only,

639
00:24:25,544 --> 00:24:27,784
Perhaps not in my lifetime, all my kids,

640
00:24:27,784 --> 00:24:30,365
maybe my grandkids, you know, blah, blah, blah.

641
00:24:30,744 --> 00:24:32,044
But nothing will happen

642
00:24:32,664 --> 00:24:34,365
because there's no forcing function.

643
00:24:35,144 --> 00:24:38,365
Yeah. And even if there were, I worry,

644
00:24:39,139 --> 00:24:39,639
personally,

645
00:24:40,019 --> 00:24:40,579
because these

646
00:24:41,299 --> 00:24:42,740
so if you think about if you think

647
00:24:42,740 --> 00:24:45,380
about protocols like as having a WASP waste,

648
00:24:45,380 --> 00:24:48,259
right? Yeah. V four sits on top of

649
00:24:48,419 --> 00:24:50,419
or IP sits on top of all the

650
00:24:50,419 --> 00:24:50,919
strange

651
00:24:51,664 --> 00:24:52,804
physical layer stuff

652
00:24:53,184 --> 00:24:55,345
and makes all the strange physical layer stuff

653
00:24:55,345 --> 00:24:57,924
look the same, whether it's a LOHA, SONNET,

654
00:24:58,784 --> 00:24:59,284
token,

655
00:24:59,664 --> 00:25:01,525
token bus, token ring,

656
00:25:02,704 --> 00:25:03,204
all

657
00:25:03,505 --> 00:25:04,565
those all those wonderful

658
00:25:04,944 --> 00:25:05,845
frame relay,

659
00:25:06,390 --> 00:25:08,490
ATF, all those wonderful technologies.

660
00:25:09,109 --> 00:25:11,369
Oh, Ethernet too, by the way. But anyway

661
00:25:12,390 --> 00:25:12,789
but

662
00:25:13,190 --> 00:25:15,269
so so the so IP sits on top

663
00:25:15,269 --> 00:25:17,190
of all that. And then everything else sits

664
00:25:17,190 --> 00:25:18,869
on top of IP, whether it's quick or

665
00:25:18,869 --> 00:25:19,930
whatever it is.

666
00:25:20,744 --> 00:25:22,684
Switching IP for real

667
00:25:24,265 --> 00:25:24,924
is like,

668
00:25:25,384 --> 00:25:27,144
I don't know, it's like it's like pulling

669
00:25:27,144 --> 00:25:27,964
out the centerpiece

670
00:25:28,265 --> 00:25:31,005
in a two foot high Jenga stack

671
00:25:31,865 --> 00:25:33,724
and putting the piece back in

672
00:25:34,079 --> 00:25:36,480
without it falling over, not just pulling it

673
00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:38,559
out. You gotta put a new one in

674
00:25:38,559 --> 00:25:40,740
and get the old one out. Like,

675
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:41,619
what?

676
00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:45,279
Right. It's not that we're addicted to v

677
00:25:45,279 --> 00:25:47,220
four. We're glued into it.

678
00:25:47,875 --> 00:25:50,194
Yeah. It's it's gonna be hard. It's gonna

679
00:25:50,194 --> 00:25:51,595
be hard. It is hard, and that's what

680
00:25:51,714 --> 00:25:54,355
why we're willing to pay. And and the

681
00:25:54,355 --> 00:25:55,335
transfer market

682
00:25:55,954 --> 00:25:56,934
is now quoting

683
00:25:57,714 --> 00:25:58,214
around,

684
00:25:59,899 --> 00:26:02,220
on average between 30 and $35

685
00:26:02,220 --> 00:26:03,919
an IP address for v four.

686
00:26:04,700 --> 00:26:06,159
And everyone's paying it.

687
00:26:06,700 --> 00:26:07,679
They're paying it.

688
00:26:08,059 --> 00:26:08,880
And so

689
00:26:09,339 --> 00:26:10,159
this kind

690
00:26:11,019 --> 00:26:13,759
of fixation on v four is not accidental.

691
00:26:13,980 --> 00:26:16,575
It's we've built it this way, and it's

692
00:26:16,634 --> 00:26:17,934
really, really hard

693
00:26:18,315 --> 00:26:20,714
to actually back out of that and look

694
00:26:20,714 --> 00:26:21,994
at it again and go, well, I can

695
00:26:21,994 --> 00:26:23,375
replace that with v six.

696
00:26:23,835 --> 00:26:27,535
Only green fields, only green fields actually have

697
00:26:27,740 --> 00:26:30,059
the ability to go right from scratch. It's

698
00:26:30,059 --> 00:26:31,039
v six only.

699
00:26:31,500 --> 00:26:33,200
But even they have a problem.

700
00:26:33,900 --> 00:26:36,380
Like, the Indians have done it. By and

701
00:26:36,380 --> 00:26:38,720
large, the subcontinent is v six only.

702
00:26:39,420 --> 00:26:40,779
And they go, well, I want to use

703
00:26:40,779 --> 00:26:41,279
Amazon.

704
00:26:42,744 --> 00:26:44,345
I want to use Slack. I want to

705
00:26:44,345 --> 00:26:46,105
use all these apps. And they go, oh,

706
00:26:46,105 --> 00:26:46,605
sorry.

707
00:26:47,144 --> 00:26:49,085
We just don't have the V 6 capacity.

708
00:26:49,144 --> 00:26:50,444
You're going to have to somehow

709
00:26:50,825 --> 00:26:53,144
map back into V 4 to get access

710
00:26:53,144 --> 00:26:54,044
to these services.

711
00:26:54,710 --> 00:26:57,450
There's no one out there with a retail

712
00:26:57,990 --> 00:26:58,490
offering

713
00:26:58,950 --> 00:27:00,730
that's doing it in V 6 only.

714
00:27:01,910 --> 00:27:03,509
And that's the kind of the big the

715
00:27:03,509 --> 00:27:04,329
the big problem,

716
00:27:04,630 --> 00:27:06,309
that all of us have to sort of

717
00:27:06,309 --> 00:27:08,970
keep pools of V 4 addresses lying around

718
00:27:09,394 --> 00:27:10,994
in order to make sure that we have

719
00:27:10,994 --> 00:27:12,134
universal connectivity.

720
00:27:12,835 --> 00:27:14,994
If you just used V 6, it isn't

721
00:27:14,994 --> 00:27:16,214
gonna work that well.

722
00:27:17,234 --> 00:27:20,194
Oops. Yeah. And what's and what's rather humorous

723
00:27:20,194 --> 00:27:22,054
in some of these things about it is

724
00:27:22,319 --> 00:27:24,399
some of these networks are actually v six

725
00:27:24,399 --> 00:27:25,220
only internally.

726
00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:28,640
Alternate. And they're tunneling v four. Yeah. They're

727
00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:31,599
tunneling v four on top. Externally, they're v

728
00:27:31,599 --> 00:27:34,259
four. But internally, they're v six.

729
00:27:35,039 --> 00:27:35,779
And, like,

730
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:37,220
that's how

731
00:27:37,904 --> 00:27:40,325
that's how universal v four is

732
00:27:41,505 --> 00:27:43,684
as an as a way of of accessing

733
00:27:43,744 --> 00:27:44,244
things.

734
00:27:44,865 --> 00:27:47,744
So over in the RIR land where I

735
00:27:47,744 --> 00:27:50,325
work, where we hand out v six addresses,

736
00:27:51,424 --> 00:27:53,125
the last two years,

737
00:27:53,930 --> 00:27:56,730
twenty twenty three, twenty twenty four, would actually

738
00:27:56,730 --> 00:27:57,230
have

739
00:27:57,609 --> 00:27:58,509
the smallest

740
00:27:58,890 --> 00:28:00,910
allocations of v six addresses

741
00:28:01,930 --> 00:28:03,309
for the last ten years,

742
00:28:04,170 --> 00:28:04,670
except

743
00:28:05,775 --> 00:28:06,275
except

744
00:28:07,215 --> 00:28:08,275
two allocations

745
00:28:09,855 --> 00:28:11,795
completely tipped it the other way.

746
00:28:12,654 --> 00:28:14,115
A mid level bank,

747
00:28:14,815 --> 00:28:16,515
in The US last year

748
00:28:16,894 --> 00:28:18,755
had I think it was a slash 16

749
00:28:18,894 --> 00:28:19,875
in v six,

750
00:28:20,255 --> 00:28:22,369
an awesomely massive allocation.

751
00:28:22,670 --> 00:28:24,190
It's as if they wanted to put a

752
00:28:24,190 --> 00:28:26,590
v six address on every credit card they

753
00:28:26,590 --> 00:28:28,130
issued and more.

754
00:28:30,029 --> 00:28:31,490
That single allocation

755
00:28:32,190 --> 00:28:33,570
was kind of double

756
00:28:33,894 --> 00:28:36,454
everything else we'd done in the previous two

757
00:28:36,454 --> 00:28:36,954
years.

758
00:28:37,255 --> 00:28:37,755
Massive.

759
00:28:38,615 --> 00:28:39,674
And then this year,

760
00:28:40,375 --> 00:28:41,434
over in APNIC,

761
00:28:42,454 --> 00:28:44,375
it's common in fact, it's it's public. All

762
00:28:44,375 --> 00:28:46,295
allocations are public knowledge, so I'm not telling

763
00:28:46,295 --> 00:28:49,740
any secrets. Huawei came out with, again, around,

764
00:28:49,740 --> 00:28:51,500
I think, it's a slash a t. It's

765
00:28:51,500 --> 00:28:52,000
huge.

766
00:28:53,259 --> 00:28:54,880
And it's those two allocations

767
00:28:55,259 --> 00:28:55,759
alone

768
00:28:56,779 --> 00:28:59,580
that have changed the v six picture in

769
00:28:59,580 --> 00:29:02,220
aggregate from, oh my god. No one's interested

770
00:29:02,220 --> 00:29:04,105
in v six to we've just had the

771
00:29:04,105 --> 00:29:06,924
two largest years of address allocations ever, dude,

772
00:29:07,544 --> 00:29:08,845
thanks to just two allocations,

773
00:29:09,464 --> 00:29:10,285
just two.

774
00:29:10,664 --> 00:29:13,005
And, again, this is really hard to explain.

775
00:29:13,544 --> 00:29:15,804
A small number of folk are doing awesomely

776
00:29:15,865 --> 00:29:17,384
big bets on v six, and the rest

777
00:29:17,384 --> 00:29:18,444
of the world's going,

778
00:29:18,929 --> 00:29:20,470
nah, I haven't got a problem.

779
00:29:22,129 --> 00:29:24,929
Not gonna change. Yeah. Now, I do think

780
00:29:24,929 --> 00:29:25,429
SRv6,

781
00:29:25,809 --> 00:29:27,190
if people deploy it,

782
00:29:27,490 --> 00:29:29,109
will cause some v six

783
00:29:29,970 --> 00:29:30,470
allocations,

784
00:29:31,505 --> 00:29:32,884
but they won't be publicly

785
00:29:33,424 --> 00:29:33,924
advertised.

786
00:29:34,305 --> 00:29:35,285
And that's another

787
00:29:35,664 --> 00:29:38,945
big question. Right? There'll be allocations for internal

788
00:29:38,945 --> 00:29:39,765
use only.

789
00:29:40,384 --> 00:29:42,085
And we've already got,

790
00:29:42,785 --> 00:29:45,345
unique local addresses. We've already got the equivalent

791
00:29:45,345 --> 00:29:48,109
of private address space. So to what extent

792
00:29:48,170 --> 00:29:50,569
folk are willing to expose their plans, like

793
00:29:50,569 --> 00:29:51,690
Huawei and this,

794
00:29:52,410 --> 00:29:54,809
rather odd American bank and do a public

795
00:29:54,809 --> 00:29:55,710
address allocation

796
00:29:56,329 --> 00:29:58,490
versus just simply going, oh, I'm just using

797
00:29:58,490 --> 00:29:59,390
private addresses.

798
00:29:59,690 --> 00:30:02,089
Not gonna tell anyone. It's all secret. Well,

799
00:30:02,089 --> 00:30:04,585
yeah. Three f f f has changed that

800
00:30:04,585 --> 00:30:06,505
picture a little bit. Like, the u EULA

801
00:30:06,505 --> 00:30:09,144
addresses are pretty useless for for v for

802
00:30:09,144 --> 00:30:11,884
SRV six, but the three f f addresses

803
00:30:12,025 --> 00:30:12,765
might be

804
00:30:13,305 --> 00:30:14,984
might not actually be something you could use.

805
00:30:14,984 --> 00:30:16,744
It's a big pool, and and who knows

806
00:30:16,904 --> 00:30:18,789
Yeah. Is what I'm saying. But, you know,

807
00:30:18,789 --> 00:30:20,390
part of the issue around with v six

808
00:30:20,390 --> 00:30:20,890
is

809
00:30:22,950 --> 00:30:24,250
part of market saturation,

810
00:30:24,549 --> 00:30:26,950
part of the difference in the change from

811
00:30:26,950 --> 00:30:30,490
network centric networking to cloud centric networking

812
00:30:31,109 --> 00:30:32,650
actually means that the

813
00:30:33,315 --> 00:30:35,414
target of routing and addressing

814
00:30:35,954 --> 00:30:36,694
is lower.

815
00:30:37,634 --> 00:30:39,974
We deal in a namespace, in an application

816
00:30:40,034 --> 00:30:40,534
space.

817
00:30:41,075 --> 00:30:43,315
There's less and less emphasis on what happens

818
00:30:43,315 --> 00:30:44,534
at the network level.

819
00:30:45,089 --> 00:30:45,589
You

820
00:30:46,609 --> 00:30:49,089
know, there's this theory out there that once

821
00:30:49,089 --> 00:30:50,789
the cloud folk have their way,

822
00:30:51,089 --> 00:30:53,029
the evil people that they are,

823
00:30:53,329 --> 00:30:54,630
there will be no routing.

824
00:30:56,210 --> 00:30:58,390
The clouds will have their points of presence

825
00:30:59,014 --> 00:30:59,835
right beside

826
00:31:00,294 --> 00:31:02,954
every access network in every data center.

827
00:31:03,494 --> 00:31:05,734
And so there's no point to move packets

828
00:31:05,734 --> 00:31:08,134
around the world. That's all done in private

829
00:31:08,134 --> 00:31:10,794
networks inside various people's clouds.

830
00:31:11,174 --> 00:31:14,369
It's not you. It's not me. Right. And

831
00:31:14,369 --> 00:31:16,130
and then it's kinda And and then it

832
00:31:16,130 --> 00:31:17,190
becomes all proprietary,

833
00:31:17,970 --> 00:31:20,529
using whatever they wanna use, and all the

834
00:31:20,529 --> 00:31:22,130
open standards go the way of the wind

835
00:31:22,130 --> 00:31:23,910
because why do you need open standards?

836
00:31:24,450 --> 00:31:26,690
Open standards are just an interface into a

837
00:31:26,690 --> 00:31:27,190
cloud.

838
00:31:28,065 --> 00:31:30,325
Exactly. And and we're seeing inexorably

839
00:31:30,704 --> 00:31:32,544
as a market and, again, this is all

840
00:31:32,544 --> 00:31:33,524
just not planned.

841
00:31:33,825 --> 00:31:35,825
This is just everyone trying to optimize, you

842
00:31:35,825 --> 00:31:37,984
know, where they wanna go. As a market,

843
00:31:37,984 --> 00:31:39,365
that's where we're heading.

844
00:31:40,690 --> 00:31:43,490
And that's one of the most fascinating change

845
00:31:43,490 --> 00:31:45,430
in the last, I'll call it a decade.

846
00:31:46,289 --> 00:31:48,950
It's much more fundamental than v six.

847
00:31:49,330 --> 00:31:50,710
V six is a 1980s

848
00:31:51,090 --> 00:31:53,029
architecture the same as v four.

849
00:31:53,410 --> 00:31:56,345
Changing the address space, oddly enough, painful as

850
00:31:56,345 --> 00:31:58,684
it has been, was not a fundamental change.

851
00:31:59,464 --> 00:32:01,244
But this whole issue of

852
00:32:01,784 --> 00:32:02,845
making names

853
00:32:03,304 --> 00:32:05,625
much more important and moving into the cloud

854
00:32:05,625 --> 00:32:06,125
space

855
00:32:06,664 --> 00:32:09,865
is absolutely basic to the way we look

856
00:32:09,865 --> 00:32:10,605
at networking.

857
00:32:11,119 --> 00:32:12,340
Do we need standards?

858
00:32:12,880 --> 00:32:15,059
Oh, in a cloud world, as you said,

859
00:32:15,440 --> 00:32:16,580
maybe, maybe not.

860
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:19,200
I wanna do SR v six. Well, you

861
00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:21,220
go do it, dude. I don't need to.

862
00:32:22,320 --> 00:32:23,575
Oh. Oh,

863
00:32:23,875 --> 00:32:25,954
I wanna run a new variant of BGP.

864
00:32:25,954 --> 00:32:28,355
Well, you know, knock yourself out. I'm not

865
00:32:28,355 --> 00:32:30,214
a fan. Yeah. Those open source implementations

866
00:32:30,515 --> 00:32:31,174
do it.

867
00:32:31,954 --> 00:32:33,394
Exactly. But the thing is, you can do

868
00:32:33,394 --> 00:32:34,755
it in your little neck of the woods,

869
00:32:34,755 --> 00:32:36,115
and I can do a different thing in

870
00:32:36,115 --> 00:32:38,929
mine because we don't have to exchange packets

871
00:32:38,929 --> 00:32:41,409
at the network level. We exchange, if you

872
00:32:41,409 --> 00:32:42,470
will, application

873
00:32:42,849 --> 00:32:44,629
packets at the name level.

874
00:32:45,809 --> 00:32:47,589
Yep. Exactly. Yep.

875
00:32:48,129 --> 00:32:49,970
And so it's it's an odd world that

876
00:32:49,970 --> 00:32:52,464
we're sitting in that we're being driven into,

877
00:32:52,464 --> 00:32:53,204
not deliberately,

878
00:32:53,744 --> 00:32:57,045
but just millions of small self optimizing decisions

879
00:32:57,664 --> 00:33:00,884
produce this momentum that actually walks away from

880
00:33:01,265 --> 00:33:03,585
most of the common routing and addressing fabric

881
00:33:03,585 --> 00:33:04,325
of the internet.

882
00:33:06,410 --> 00:33:09,210
Wow. We got there in forty minutes to

883
00:33:09,210 --> 00:33:12,170
such a massive conceptual sort of result. This

884
00:33:12,170 --> 00:33:14,329
is kind of, oh my god. You mean

885
00:33:14,329 --> 00:33:15,789
everything I learned is irrelevant?

886
00:33:18,970 --> 00:33:19,789
Yes. Alright.

887
00:33:20,194 --> 00:33:21,255
Let's move on.

888
00:33:21,875 --> 00:33:22,535
Yeah. Right.

889
00:33:23,075 --> 00:33:25,015
Didn't happen. That makes us uncomfortable.

890
00:33:28,035 --> 00:33:30,615
Yeah. I think it's worth looking at. Yeah.

891
00:33:30,674 --> 00:33:32,755
Yeah. Yeah. So maybe we should get you

892
00:33:32,755 --> 00:33:34,819
back on to talk about this again. I

893
00:33:34,819 --> 00:33:36,339
don't know. I mean, we always like to

894
00:33:36,339 --> 00:33:38,660
have you on anyway, Jeff. Look. I I

895
00:33:38,660 --> 00:33:40,119
do my best in all this,

896
00:33:40,819 --> 00:33:42,500
and it's kind of trying to match the

897
00:33:42,500 --> 00:33:43,000
minutia

898
00:33:43,539 --> 00:33:46,500
of what's happening with individual addresses, with routing

899
00:33:46,500 --> 00:33:48,704
tables, with the amount of churn out there,

900
00:33:48,865 --> 00:33:51,184
what's happening in terms of moving packets around

901
00:33:51,184 --> 00:33:53,684
the world, but at the same time asking,

902
00:33:54,065 --> 00:33:55,984
why are these packets moving around the world

903
00:33:55,984 --> 00:33:57,845
and literally are they anymore?

904
00:33:59,024 --> 00:34:01,505
You know, I've spoken myself and turned a

905
00:34:01,505 --> 00:34:03,765
lot more attention to the domain name system.

906
00:34:04,210 --> 00:34:06,210
I actually feel that these days, there's so

907
00:34:06,210 --> 00:34:07,029
many NATs,

908
00:34:07,330 --> 00:34:09,670
the whole bifurcation in address space.

909
00:34:10,449 --> 00:34:12,849
Does being part of one address space matter

910
00:34:12,849 --> 00:34:14,849
anymore? I look around my home and I

911
00:34:14,849 --> 00:34:17,429
haven't got an IP address that's publicly unique.

912
00:34:17,964 --> 00:34:19,025
I'm behind NATs.

913
00:34:19,565 --> 00:34:21,244
The bits of v six that I have

914
00:34:21,244 --> 00:34:23,565
are so heavily they look like a NAT

915
00:34:23,565 --> 00:34:25,105
even though they're not because,

916
00:34:25,484 --> 00:34:27,885
you know, NATs are are secure, aren't they?

917
00:34:27,885 --> 00:34:29,724
And so v six is built in NAT's

918
00:34:29,724 --> 00:34:30,224
image.

919
00:34:30,539 --> 00:34:33,260
I've got nothing that's accessible inside my house

920
00:34:33,260 --> 00:34:33,760
anymore,

921
00:34:34,300 --> 00:34:36,059
and I'm okay with that, and so is

922
00:34:36,059 --> 00:34:36,880
everyone else.

923
00:34:37,980 --> 00:34:40,219
It's In fact, it's good. It's good. This

924
00:34:40,219 --> 00:34:42,219
is an argument that I had very early

925
00:34:42,219 --> 00:34:44,164
on when they were talking about NATs and

926
00:34:44,164 --> 00:34:45,864
how they weren't a security mechanism.

927
00:34:46,405 --> 00:34:49,525
Okay. I get that they're not purely a

928
00:34:49,525 --> 00:34:52,244
security mechanism. I understand that. Right? Yeah. They're

929
00:34:52,244 --> 00:34:55,704
not in security terms. They're not a true

930
00:34:55,844 --> 00:34:57,465
security mechanism. Right?

931
00:34:58,250 --> 00:35:00,269
But let's be honest, they're fail open.

932
00:35:01,849 --> 00:35:02,349
And

933
00:35:02,650 --> 00:35:04,750
not only they not only fail open,

934
00:35:05,130 --> 00:35:06,989
but they actually they do obfuscate.

935
00:35:07,369 --> 00:35:08,969
And as I said on my mailing list

936
00:35:08,969 --> 00:35:11,789
once, do you not put curtains

937
00:35:12,664 --> 00:35:13,644
in your windows?

938
00:35:14,425 --> 00:35:17,864
Everywhere except for that. Everywhere except for the

939
00:35:17,864 --> 00:35:18,684
good touch.

940
00:35:19,704 --> 00:35:21,085
You know, it's like

941
00:35:21,784 --> 00:35:23,244
Yeah. Yeah. Obfuscation

942
00:35:23,704 --> 00:35:24,525
is important.

943
00:35:24,829 --> 00:35:26,750
Okay? It is a security. It is a

944
00:35:26,750 --> 00:35:29,389
component of a larger security thing. So don't

945
00:35:29,389 --> 00:35:31,230
tell me how useless it is because it

946
00:35:31,230 --> 00:35:32,130
does matter.

947
00:35:32,750 --> 00:35:34,590
It all matters. Where I'm getting to is

948
00:35:34,590 --> 00:35:37,090
this kind of bifurcation of big pictures, detailed

949
00:35:37,150 --> 00:35:37,650
picture

950
00:35:37,965 --> 00:35:40,445
on the Internet. Yeah. And the details point

951
00:35:40,445 --> 00:35:42,364
you down one area of, oh, yeah. The

952
00:35:42,364 --> 00:35:44,525
routing table's still growing. Oh, we're still handing

953
00:35:44,525 --> 00:35:46,545
out addresses. Oh, it's still important.

954
00:35:47,244 --> 00:35:48,945
The big picture kinda says,

955
00:35:49,405 --> 00:35:51,664
were there, dude? Not not so much.

956
00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:53,219
Not so much.

957
00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:55,219
Names are actually critical.

958
00:35:55,840 --> 00:35:57,700
Domain names define the Internet.

959
00:35:58,400 --> 00:35:59,219
And and

960
00:35:59,519 --> 00:36:01,680
this is kind of the underlying change that's

961
00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:03,380
happened. And and the reason why

962
00:36:04,079 --> 00:36:05,460
is actually really simple.

963
00:36:05,904 --> 00:36:09,125
Once you start putting supercomputers on everyone's wrist,

964
00:36:10,384 --> 00:36:13,125
that's filled with software and data. They're

965
00:36:13,744 --> 00:36:14,964
enormously capable.

966
00:36:15,664 --> 00:36:17,585
They don't need to pay the network a

967
00:36:17,585 --> 00:36:19,039
tithe to get

968
00:36:19,500 --> 00:36:21,660
servers. They just extract the servers the way

969
00:36:21,660 --> 00:36:22,719
they want it because

970
00:36:23,820 --> 00:36:25,820
it's a supercomputer, dude. It can do what

971
00:36:25,820 --> 00:36:27,119
it wants on my wrist,

972
00:36:27,820 --> 00:36:29,980
you know, in my phone, on my desk,

973
00:36:29,980 --> 00:36:30,480
wherever.

974
00:36:30,984 --> 00:36:33,945
And and that change of pushing computing out

975
00:36:33,945 --> 00:36:36,264
to the edge has pushed value out to

976
00:36:36,264 --> 00:36:38,344
the edge and taken value out of the

977
00:36:38,344 --> 00:36:39,324
network middle.

978
00:36:40,744 --> 00:36:43,324
We're in a networking podcast, aren't we?

979
00:36:43,860 --> 00:36:45,940
Yeah. Yeah. Also, I think that's a small.

980
00:36:45,940 --> 00:36:47,240
Sorry about that.

981
00:36:50,099 --> 00:36:50,599
Yeah.

982
00:36:51,059 --> 00:36:52,820
Okay. We should wrap up and get you

983
00:36:52,820 --> 00:36:54,340
back on again, Jeff. We should try to

984
00:36:54,340 --> 00:36:56,340
get you on more often along with other

985
00:36:56,340 --> 00:36:56,980
people. But,

986
00:36:57,539 --> 00:36:58,519
cool. Alright.

987
00:36:59,574 --> 00:37:00,855
It's a good I guess I'll start with

988
00:37:01,414 --> 00:37:03,735
yeah. Where where do people find you? Poteroo.

989
00:37:03,735 --> 00:37:06,295
Right? C O H At Poteroo Dot Net

990
00:37:06,295 --> 00:37:07,974
will find me, or you can just look

991
00:37:07,974 --> 00:37:09,815
on the web page for all awesome stuff

992
00:37:09,815 --> 00:37:10,635
about BGB

993
00:37:11,015 --> 00:37:15,550
and my, you know, insane ramblings on www.potaroo.net.

994
00:37:16,489 --> 00:37:16,989
Cool.

995
00:37:17,289 --> 00:37:19,789
Awesome. And I assume you're on LinkedIn and

996
00:37:19,849 --> 00:37:20,750
blah dee da.

997
00:37:21,369 --> 00:37:23,710
Less so these days. I'll be very fashionable.

998
00:37:28,724 --> 00:37:31,445
Alright. Cool. And, Tom, where can people reach

999
00:37:31,445 --> 00:37:33,045
you? LinkedIn. I'll just go ahead and say

1000
00:37:35,765 --> 00:37:37,204
I even talked over, so you have to

1001
00:37:37,204 --> 00:37:38,010
say it again.

1002
00:37:38,329 --> 00:37:40,429
LinkedIn. There I put it down for

1003
00:37:42,170 --> 00:37:42,829
you. Thanks.

1004
00:37:43,289 --> 00:37:46,250
Alright. Well, thanks, Jeff, for coming on. And

1005
00:37:46,250 --> 00:37:48,650
to all the folks out there listening, we

1006
00:37:48,650 --> 00:37:50,889
know that we live in an attention driven

1007
00:37:50,889 --> 00:37:52,969
economy, so your time is important to us,

1008
00:37:52,969 --> 00:37:54,554
and we're thankful we have an audience.

1009
00:37:55,015 --> 00:37:57,494
And thanks for listening to this episode of

1010
00:37:57,494 --> 00:37:59,094
The Hedge all the way to the very

1011
00:37:59,094 --> 00:38:00,534
bitter end. We're gonna have to talk about

1012
00:38:00,534 --> 00:38:03,414
what that term means eventually, but all the

1013
00:38:03,414 --> 00:38:04,934
way to the bitter end, and we will

1014
00:38:04,934 --> 00:38:06,074
catch you next time.