1 00:00:00,437 --> 00:00:04,331 Good afternoon. Welcome to the F fps bets 2 00:00:04,331 --> 00:00:05,308 slip on 3 00:00:06,954 --> 00:00:09,988 Tuesday, the sixteenth of July, this is take 4 00:00:09,988 --> 00:00:10,226 2. 5 00:00:10,861 --> 00:00:12,925 I'm gonna do a little open championship preview. 6 00:00:13,163 --> 00:00:14,456 I recorded this 7 00:00:14,988 --> 00:00:16,599 about 09:00 this morning 8 00:00:17,845 --> 00:00:19,794 is and realized I'd inadvertently 9 00:00:20,251 --> 00:00:22,323 there's a button on the microphone that says 10 00:00:22,323 --> 00:00:24,737 mute. I'd inadvertently hit the mute button 11 00:00:25,113 --> 00:00:25,932 on the microphone, 12 00:00:26,324 --> 00:00:28,153 and I talked to myself basically for about 13 00:00:28,153 --> 00:00:28,949 35 minutes. 14 00:00:30,062 --> 00:00:31,972 There was no recording. It was blank. I'd 15 00:00:31,972 --> 00:00:32,926 been chi in way, 16 00:00:34,449 --> 00:00:34,766 And 17 00:00:35,480 --> 00:00:36,987 yeah, nothing to show for it. I then 18 00:00:36,987 --> 00:00:38,256 add things to do being out, 19 00:00:39,367 --> 00:00:39,843 come back. 20 00:00:40,557 --> 00:00:42,803 Some, this is take 2. And when I 21 00:00:42,803 --> 00:00:43,922 recorded it this morning, 22 00:00:44,881 --> 00:00:46,879 Garrett South gate was in a job, and 23 00:00:46,879 --> 00:00:48,157 now we get to this afternoon in the 24 00:00:48,157 --> 00:00:49,995 isn't, and I've been doing the moment call 25 00:00:49,995 --> 00:00:50,475 afternoon, 26 00:00:51,049 --> 00:00:54,641 good fucking rid on my part. I can't 27 00:00:54,721 --> 00:00:55,998 I can't bear them in. Simple as that. 28 00:00:56,158 --> 00:00:57,355 You can all say he's a lovely guy 29 00:00:57,355 --> 00:00:59,590 this and lovely guy when there was racing 30 00:00:59,590 --> 00:01:00,961 them in this stadium didn't near it. 31 00:01:01,918 --> 00:01:03,353 That's a man measure of the man. 32 00:01:04,709 --> 00:01:05,506 Good rid. 33 00:01:06,543 --> 00:01:08,217 I can end my exile of watching in 34 00:01:08,376 --> 00:01:08,695 England. Now 35 00:01:09,429 --> 00:01:11,267 20 18 Never watched the game live since 36 00:01:11,267 --> 00:01:13,684 the Croatia game, I can sit and 37 00:01:14,463 --> 00:01:16,460 watch them unless of course, as somebody said, 38 00:01:16,620 --> 00:01:18,391 what if it's fact Frank. Said, well, if 39 00:01:18,391 --> 00:01:20,805 it's frank frank the Exile, the self imposed 40 00:01:20,863 --> 00:01:22,139 exile will have to continue. 41 00:01:23,654 --> 00:01:25,728 I very much expect it will be potter 42 00:01:25,728 --> 00:01:26,286 or hal. 43 00:01:29,340 --> 00:01:31,739 I can't get the... How do I get 44 00:01:31,739 --> 00:01:33,259 how of a out of a club job. 45 00:01:34,873 --> 00:01:36,783 Potter, I wouldn't be adverse to Potter, I'll 46 00:01:36,783 --> 00:01:37,101 be honest. 47 00:01:39,090 --> 00:01:41,080 I think he coach quite well. I think 48 00:01:41,159 --> 00:01:42,689 Chelsea was a bit of a sham when 49 00:01:42,689 --> 00:01:43,890 he went there, so I wouldn't be at 50 00:01:43,890 --> 00:01:44,769 first to see... 51 00:01:45,569 --> 00:01:47,090 If we're gonna go down that road, Of 52 00:01:47,090 --> 00:01:49,329 course, where they should go is straight over 53 00:01:49,329 --> 00:01:52,632 to Uruguay. And drag Marcel, Marcel marcelo Be 54 00:01:53,087 --> 00:01:54,757 out of the office and get him 55 00:01:55,314 --> 00:01:57,796 there. That'd be perfect for him. Fight and 56 00:01:57,796 --> 00:01:59,947 if they can't get the elder, then go 57 00:01:59,947 --> 00:02:02,338 and get somebody that money you like somebody 58 00:02:02,338 --> 00:02:04,728 like Marine, who can win football matches, it's 59 00:02:04,728 --> 00:02:08,091 all about fine margins tech ticks, and these 60 00:02:08,091 --> 00:02:10,244 are the people who can get these sort 61 00:02:10,244 --> 00:02:12,397 of things over the line with quality players. 62 00:02:13,115 --> 00:02:15,029 But I imagine it will be 1 of 63 00:02:15,029 --> 00:02:16,167 potter or how 64 00:02:18,551 --> 00:02:20,383 we might go down the under 21 route, 65 00:02:20,463 --> 00:02:21,977 which I just don't agree with a tool, 66 00:02:22,853 --> 00:02:25,083 or it couldn't... I couldn't roll out with 67 00:02:25,083 --> 00:02:26,935 this lot of clowns. Couldn't roll out F 68 00:02:27,014 --> 00:02:29,175 Frank. Just imagine Brian Clark was never England 69 00:02:29,175 --> 00:02:31,974 manager and Frank Lamb. Got it. Flipping dear 70 00:02:31,974 --> 00:02:32,134 me. 71 00:02:33,574 --> 00:02:36,367 I Anyway, beautiful, Lovely news. 72 00:02:37,161 --> 00:02:38,827 Steve Williams. Was the first person. Let me 73 00:02:38,827 --> 00:02:40,256 know I thank you, Steve. Beautiful. 74 00:02:42,572 --> 00:02:44,000 I was out and about minding my own 75 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:44,872 business lovely. 76 00:02:47,252 --> 00:02:49,949 Right. Let's get to the open championship. I 77 00:02:49,949 --> 00:02:51,157 mean we've just at the end of the 78 00:02:51,157 --> 00:02:52,593 euros. We've had the end of Wimbledon. 79 00:02:54,667 --> 00:02:57,139 Now we've have got the finest sports event 80 00:02:57,139 --> 00:02:58,735 of the year. Without a doubt, It's not 81 00:02:58,735 --> 00:03:00,744 even a it's not even opinion. It's fact, 82 00:03:01,063 --> 00:03:03,377 the finest sporting event, the hundred and 50 83 00:03:03,377 --> 00:03:05,053 second open royal tron, 84 00:03:07,607 --> 00:03:09,459 can't wait. I'm actually lucky enough to be 85 00:03:09,459 --> 00:03:10,737 going for a couple of days I'm getting 86 00:03:10,737 --> 00:03:11,876 the train up to 87 00:03:12,895 --> 00:03:16,171 Scotland tomorrow. Hopefully, I don't get arrested for 88 00:03:16,171 --> 00:03:16,810 hate crimes. 89 00:03:18,179 --> 00:03:19,315 For saying 90 00:03:19,690 --> 00:03:21,836 saying little things about the Scott's football team. 91 00:03:23,426 --> 00:03:23,903 And we, 92 00:03:25,430 --> 00:03:28,069 Yeah. Can safely navigate the open on Thursday. 93 00:03:28,469 --> 00:03:31,030 I'm playing Renaissance where the Scottish open finished 94 00:03:31,030 --> 00:03:33,509 on Sunday. I'm playing there Friday back to 95 00:03:33,509 --> 00:03:34,150 the open on. 96 00:03:37,110 --> 00:03:37,587 Saturday, 97 00:03:38,223 --> 00:03:40,132 bit of lunch with some F fps guys 98 00:03:40,132 --> 00:03:41,326 on Sunday morning, 99 00:03:41,819 --> 00:03:44,620 watch the Gulf Sunday afternoon train back home 100 00:03:44,620 --> 00:03:47,180 to B tea on Monday and lovely little 101 00:03:47,180 --> 00:03:49,019 few days looking forward to it apparently though 102 00:03:49,019 --> 00:03:49,659 it's gonna rain. 103 00:03:50,714 --> 00:03:52,413 Pretty much non nonstop. But 104 00:03:52,792 --> 00:03:53,431 there we go. 105 00:03:54,949 --> 00:03:55,189 Right. 106 00:03:57,186 --> 00:03:59,112 Royal true, so I'm gonna I'll talk a 107 00:03:59,112 --> 00:04:00,935 little bit through my betting process for for 108 00:04:01,014 --> 00:04:02,123 Golf as well. I'm gonna 109 00:04:02,598 --> 00:04:03,945 hopefully bore you with it. But 110 00:04:05,784 --> 00:04:07,385 I do like to have... I do I 111 00:04:07,385 --> 00:04:09,865 do bet pre event. It's not my favorite. 112 00:04:10,825 --> 00:04:12,905 Certainly in the majors I do, and I'm 113 00:04:12,905 --> 00:04:14,105 gonna have a little go here, but it 114 00:04:14,105 --> 00:04:15,795 is a very... Small part of my golf 115 00:04:15,795 --> 00:04:17,150 betting for the bets I talked to you 116 00:04:17,150 --> 00:04:17,389 now. 117 00:04:19,063 --> 00:04:20,497 I only have small amounts on, 118 00:04:22,664 --> 00:04:24,021 I bet them. I tend to bet them 119 00:04:24,021 --> 00:04:25,219 set and forget that there's a couple of 120 00:04:25,219 --> 00:04:27,055 players here where I'm gonna put caveats to 121 00:04:27,055 --> 00:04:27,214 that. 122 00:04:28,811 --> 00:04:31,286 And the majority of my golf betting is 123 00:04:31,286 --> 00:04:32,894 done after 1, we've got a hundred and 124 00:04:32,894 --> 00:04:34,826 58 players in this open championship. 125 00:04:35,201 --> 00:04:36,872 By the time we get 2 Thursday night, 126 00:04:37,031 --> 00:04:38,862 and they have all completed around about half 127 00:04:38,862 --> 00:04:40,555 past night at night on Thursday. 128 00:04:41,010 --> 00:04:41,144 And 129 00:04:43,024 --> 00:04:45,104 without a doubt, there will only be about 130 00:04:45,104 --> 00:04:46,064 20 to 30, 131 00:04:46,865 --> 00:04:48,544 probably tops that can win it and a 132 00:04:48,544 --> 00:04:50,224 hundred and 20 of taking themselves out of 133 00:04:50,224 --> 00:04:52,240 it, and that's like pre event betting is 134 00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:52,800 so hard. 135 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:55,840 You've got... You know, it's been particularly over 136 00:04:55,840 --> 00:04:57,920 with people like Chef winning because can keep 137 00:04:57,920 --> 00:04:58,879 doing it all the time, 138 00:04:59,454 --> 00:05:01,684 you've got some horrific variants you've gotta to 139 00:05:01,684 --> 00:05:03,915 get through. But of course, it's lovely when 140 00:05:03,915 --> 00:05:05,509 you get a winner. But, like, you know, 141 00:05:05,748 --> 00:05:07,102 I did have the winner to Cha. I 142 00:05:07,102 --> 00:05:08,855 put up for the Us As an example. 143 00:05:09,108 --> 00:05:09,663 24, 144 00:05:10,932 --> 00:05:11,963 and betting. But 145 00:05:12,677 --> 00:05:15,374 my... The majority of my money gets invested 146 00:05:15,374 --> 00:05:17,532 after around 1. So I'm a lot heavier 147 00:05:17,532 --> 00:05:19,442 on my trades after around 1 that I 148 00:05:19,442 --> 00:05:20,897 put in the telegram room 149 00:05:21,512 --> 00:05:22,785 for F fps, and this will be the 150 00:05:22,785 --> 00:05:24,160 last week of those 151 00:05:25,665 --> 00:05:27,258 I'm just gonna change the gulf set up 152 00:05:27,258 --> 00:05:29,111 slightly and I'll have details of that 153 00:05:29,964 --> 00:05:30,522 in August. 154 00:05:31,159 --> 00:05:31,477 But 155 00:05:33,324 --> 00:05:35,002 that... That's where the majority of my action 156 00:05:35,002 --> 00:05:36,760 is, but these at these here, you know, 157 00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:38,518 anything you do from here, you do at 158 00:05:38,518 --> 00:05:39,876 your own payroll. I'm gonna talk you through. 159 00:05:40,036 --> 00:05:41,075 I'm gonna do some caveats. 160 00:05:41,729 --> 00:05:41,968 But, 161 00:05:42,606 --> 00:05:44,042 1 of the first things that I do 162 00:05:44,042 --> 00:05:45,898 particularly, with the open championship. 163 00:05:46,834 --> 00:05:48,349 You know, it masters as you get repeat 164 00:05:48,349 --> 00:05:49,545 winners because they I go back to the 165 00:05:49,545 --> 00:05:50,822 same course. 1 of the things I do 166 00:05:50,822 --> 00:05:52,592 with the open championship I always like to 167 00:05:52,592 --> 00:05:54,028 look back at when it was last play 168 00:05:54,028 --> 00:05:54,747 at that course, 169 00:05:56,343 --> 00:05:58,497 the example that springs demand back Toe mirror 170 00:05:58,497 --> 00:06:00,665 when he won the open. Because he'd finished 171 00:06:00,665 --> 00:06:02,597 second when it had been back at Be 172 00:06:03,530 --> 00:06:04,030 previously, 173 00:06:04,963 --> 00:06:06,714 and you find that you find players who 174 00:06:06,714 --> 00:06:08,162 plays well at S andrew if you look 175 00:06:08,162 --> 00:06:09,356 at them on the leader board, I tend 176 00:06:09,356 --> 00:06:10,788 to do well Sent Andrew's andrews again. 177 00:06:12,937 --> 00:06:14,370 You know, so you find it because obviously, 178 00:06:14,529 --> 00:06:16,455 these courses, throughs they get to know them 179 00:06:16,455 --> 00:06:17,809 they get to lower the lines off the 180 00:06:17,809 --> 00:06:19,641 teas. They they get to know the little 181 00:06:19,641 --> 00:06:20,915 quirky bits around the green. 182 00:06:21,951 --> 00:06:23,385 So the first thing I did was went 183 00:06:23,385 --> 00:06:24,833 back and Had a look at the... Open 184 00:06:24,833 --> 00:06:26,262 at royal True. And the thing that amazed 185 00:06:26,262 --> 00:06:27,772 me, which I I remember watching this and 186 00:06:27,772 --> 00:06:29,599 it was just a fantastic major, 187 00:06:30,552 --> 00:06:32,697 Stint and Mick backing it out at T, 188 00:06:33,412 --> 00:06:34,206 8 years ago. 189 00:06:34,857 --> 00:06:35,335 What I'd... 190 00:06:37,563 --> 00:06:39,314 I I always have a tent I'm not 191 00:06:39,314 --> 00:06:40,906 this year I'm away, but I always have 192 00:06:40,906 --> 00:06:43,146 a big barbecue on leak. Open champion something 193 00:06:43,305 --> 00:06:45,764 I had a few people around sort cooking 194 00:06:45,764 --> 00:06:47,669 food, drinking a few beers watching the gulf. 195 00:06:48,383 --> 00:06:49,811 And what, I remember watching this is I 196 00:06:49,811 --> 00:06:51,178 remember sitting there, we were chatting away that, 197 00:06:51,337 --> 00:06:52,693 But what I couldn't remember is that they 198 00:06:52,693 --> 00:06:54,846 were 11 shots clear a third. I mean, 199 00:06:55,086 --> 00:06:57,159 S Beat Mick by 3 shots. He was 200 00:06:57,159 --> 00:07:00,110 20 under. Mick 17 under. The next best 201 00:07:00,110 --> 00:07:02,442 was Jb homes who was 6 under. They 202 00:07:02,442 --> 00:07:05,158 are 11 shots clear. That's how much better 203 00:07:05,158 --> 00:07:05,818 they were 204 00:07:06,356 --> 00:07:08,926 than the rest of the the The crowd 205 00:07:08,926 --> 00:07:09,325 that week. 206 00:07:10,043 --> 00:07:11,182 You then had str 207 00:07:11,879 --> 00:07:14,751 5 under, and then Mc and Hat both 208 00:07:14,751 --> 00:07:16,839 4 under gas here was 4 under. He 209 00:07:16,839 --> 00:07:19,069 he hasn't made the cut. And then Dustin 210 00:07:19,149 --> 00:07:20,663 Johnson there, but names like And 211 00:07:21,300 --> 00:07:22,629 Andrew Johnston, b fear 212 00:07:23,388 --> 00:07:25,782 Simon Ke and Bill Hart, Matthew South gate. 213 00:07:26,261 --> 00:07:27,719 I'm not sure. I think he might qualify 214 00:07:27,778 --> 00:07:27,938 again. 215 00:07:29,294 --> 00:07:31,130 But just amazing the sort of names in 216 00:07:31,130 --> 00:07:32,816 there that you don't hear of anymore. 217 00:07:33,770 --> 00:07:35,996 But how far clear they were, but, you 218 00:07:35,996 --> 00:07:38,301 know, obviously, the key take from that going 219 00:07:38,301 --> 00:07:41,022 into this week is mc and fifth so 220 00:07:41,022 --> 00:07:42,695 mc managed to get it around. But he's 221 00:07:42,695 --> 00:07:44,549 16 shots behind stint. And 222 00:07:45,164 --> 00:07:46,678 you know, it's how much you put into 223 00:07:46,678 --> 00:07:46,837 that. 224 00:07:49,564 --> 00:07:52,605 But yeah, just really, really interesting that was 225 00:07:52,605 --> 00:07:54,605 for me that, how far clear they were. 226 00:07:55,324 --> 00:07:56,935 So... What I'm gonna do, I'm just gonna 227 00:07:56,935 --> 00:07:58,950 run down the feel run down the betting 228 00:07:59,566 --> 00:08:02,458 and give you my views on them and 229 00:08:02,516 --> 00:08:04,350 who I'm punt pre tournament. 230 00:08:05,485 --> 00:08:07,084 And I'll throw in those little caveats that 231 00:08:07,245 --> 00:08:08,685 I've got, but this is a very small 232 00:08:08,685 --> 00:08:10,204 part of my outlay for the week, 233 00:08:11,324 --> 00:08:12,615 this tour tend to lay a bit more 234 00:08:12,615 --> 00:08:14,286 out the masters because they play the same 235 00:08:14,286 --> 00:08:16,036 course every week. So you can get a 236 00:08:16,036 --> 00:08:16,911 bit more feel for it. 237 00:08:18,820 --> 00:08:22,096 Tend But yeah, this 1 here, but the 238 00:08:22,096 --> 00:08:24,880 greatest championship, The you're in for an absolute 239 00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:27,028 feast of gold for 4 days. Even if 240 00:08:27,028 --> 00:08:29,272 you don't like you should watch. It's fantastic. 241 00:08:30,227 --> 00:08:33,013 Leading the market is She at 7 rightly 242 00:08:33,013 --> 00:08:35,401 so he is streets ahead of anybody else. 243 00:08:35,640 --> 00:08:37,485 If Apparently, he has, 244 00:08:38,122 --> 00:08:39,816 shot 8 under up at 245 00:08:41,067 --> 00:08:42,818 term brie in Scotland. 246 00:08:44,346 --> 00:08:45,939 In in practice for this. 247 00:08:47,851 --> 00:08:49,604 He is miles, You know, he is the 248 00:08:49,604 --> 00:08:52,074 the tiger woods of his generation. Is miles 249 00:08:52,074 --> 00:08:54,024 clear of anybody else's gulf is 250 00:08:55,042 --> 00:08:56,501 sublime. He's been absolutely 251 00:08:57,279 --> 00:08:58,158 brilliant in all year. 252 00:08:59,916 --> 00:09:01,529 You know, a bad a bad week for 253 00:09:01,529 --> 00:09:05,210 him is not finishing in the top 516 254 00:09:05,210 --> 00:09:05,610 times, 255 00:09:07,850 --> 00:09:09,529 you know, it'd be easy to say just 256 00:09:09,529 --> 00:09:11,139 back him back him and don't do anything 257 00:09:11,139 --> 00:09:13,870 else. I'm almost certain that some try... Sometime 258 00:09:13,927 --> 00:09:15,600 he will trade shorter than that price. 259 00:09:16,397 --> 00:09:18,070 What I tend to do pre event is 260 00:09:18,070 --> 00:09:19,916 use him as a cover, So I'll do 261 00:09:19,916 --> 00:09:21,665 my staking, and then I'll just have a 262 00:09:21,665 --> 00:09:23,574 bit on him to cover my outlay and 263 00:09:23,654 --> 00:09:24,846 I can trade a bit of that if 264 00:09:24,926 --> 00:09:26,198 I want to and it just helps me 265 00:09:26,198 --> 00:09:27,391 reduce my outlay if he does. 266 00:09:28,044 --> 00:09:29,163 Because if he if he gets to go, 267 00:09:29,243 --> 00:09:30,601 and he just runs away with these things, 268 00:09:31,161 --> 00:09:32,279 and then you don't sort of get a 269 00:09:32,279 --> 00:09:32,999 run for your money. 270 00:09:34,917 --> 00:09:37,246 I expect him, you know, he's... He's had 271 00:09:37,246 --> 00:09:38,514 a new baby. I don't know whether his 272 00:09:38,514 --> 00:09:40,337 wife is flown over. I haven't looked to 273 00:09:40,337 --> 00:09:41,367 being able to find that out. 274 00:09:42,873 --> 00:09:45,268 But he just seems to... Doesn't... Matt nothing 275 00:09:45,268 --> 00:09:46,856 seems to face him, he just seems to 276 00:09:46,856 --> 00:09:49,635 be an absolute picture of relaxed focus, 277 00:09:51,064 --> 00:09:52,389 you know, even when he got a rest 278 00:09:52,429 --> 00:09:54,440 did earlier there. It's not knocked him off 279 00:09:54,576 --> 00:09:54,815 track. 280 00:09:56,644 --> 00:09:57,837 I think he might have won that event 281 00:09:57,837 --> 00:09:59,825 if he hadn't got arrested, but you know, 282 00:09:59,984 --> 00:10:02,233 he's come out in won comfortably since 283 00:10:03,100 --> 00:10:05,407 so She at 7 right favorite, 284 00:10:06,918 --> 00:10:07,793 favorites chance. 285 00:10:08,827 --> 00:10:10,992 I expect a decent showing from him, but 286 00:10:11,072 --> 00:10:12,346 I am gonna be taking him on with 287 00:10:12,346 --> 00:10:14,098 a few. And as I said, we use 288 00:10:14,098 --> 00:10:15,532 him as a bit of cover. 289 00:10:16,886 --> 00:10:17,841 Second is Mc, 290 00:10:18,972 --> 00:10:21,545 10.5 as I say fifth in the 291 00:10:22,639 --> 00:10:24,494 fifth here last time it was played 292 00:10:25,270 --> 00:10:25,828 4 under, 293 00:10:28,151 --> 00:10:31,171 reasonable showing last week 14 under finished time 294 00:10:31,171 --> 00:10:31,409 fourth. 295 00:10:32,045 --> 00:10:33,339 Obviously, that was his first 296 00:10:33,793 --> 00:10:35,088 trip out since 297 00:10:36,674 --> 00:10:38,293 the Us open where 298 00:10:39,231 --> 00:10:40,909 it has to be said he lost it 299 00:10:40,909 --> 00:10:42,827 as brilliant as the cha up and down 300 00:10:42,827 --> 00:10:43,327 was 301 00:10:43,787 --> 00:10:45,305 a mc had it there to win. 302 00:10:46,436 --> 00:10:48,902 Lost it. I've got a real sq about 303 00:10:48,982 --> 00:10:51,050 Mc and majors. I don't... I'm not saying 304 00:10:51,050 --> 00:10:52,641 he won't be up there. I think he's 305 00:10:52,641 --> 00:10:54,639 almost know, 1 of them. You'll go top 306 00:10:54,639 --> 00:10:57,412 10. You know, it'll it'll either hang around 307 00:10:57,412 --> 00:11:00,026 and be top 10 or it'll be 5, 308 00:11:00,106 --> 00:11:02,109 you off the pace and shoot a 64 309 00:11:02,109 --> 00:11:03,779 last day. The backdoor top 10. 310 00:11:05,450 --> 00:11:07,041 I don't wanna back in pre event. I 311 00:11:07,041 --> 00:11:09,518 don't He's he's he's another 1 you could 312 00:11:09,518 --> 00:11:11,106 back into trade. You know, when you're trading 313 00:11:11,186 --> 00:11:12,139 Golfers is 1 of the things you gotta 314 00:11:12,139 --> 00:11:14,760 do is there's certain golfers who the reaction 315 00:11:14,760 --> 00:11:17,556 to them. Is completely different to anybody else 316 00:11:17,556 --> 00:11:19,860 shuffle is 1. Mc is 1. 317 00:11:20,813 --> 00:11:22,800 Shuffle is becoming 1 old s. 318 00:11:23,197 --> 00:11:24,150 We'll get to team him in a minute. 319 00:11:24,801 --> 00:11:26,391 And Jordan Sp is still. I you know, 320 00:11:26,550 --> 00:11:28,061 Jordan Sp weighed down at 80 18 90, 321 00:11:28,220 --> 00:11:29,651 But if Jordan Sp makes a couple of 322 00:11:29,651 --> 00:11:31,878 birdie, he'll shoot in a lot more than 323 00:11:31,878 --> 00:11:33,865 any other player that's 80 90. And that's 324 00:11:33,865 --> 00:11:35,475 just because of who he is the history 325 00:11:35,475 --> 00:11:37,070 of it. And you get to learn these 326 00:11:37,070 --> 00:11:39,064 players that the market over reacts. That's what 327 00:11:39,064 --> 00:11:40,819 it does. You know, we talk about efficient 328 00:11:40,819 --> 00:11:43,292 markets, but it completely over reacts to certain 329 00:11:43,292 --> 00:11:43,531 players. 330 00:11:44,183 --> 00:11:46,012 Mc roy is 1. Mc roy, if he 331 00:11:46,012 --> 00:11:47,682 makes a couple of birdie early. His price 332 00:11:47,682 --> 00:11:48,159 will have. 333 00:11:48,795 --> 00:11:50,624 And there's a limited downside to backing in 334 00:11:50,624 --> 00:11:52,946 him, you could back Mc roy. And and 335 00:11:52,946 --> 00:11:54,720 almost certainly be able to exit 336 00:11:55,255 --> 00:11:57,405 during the tournament for for next to no 337 00:11:57,405 --> 00:11:59,714 loss. So so there's certain players there. I'd 338 00:11:59,714 --> 00:12:01,559 say those first 2 you wanted to back 339 00:12:01,559 --> 00:12:03,782 them. You could back them, and you'd probably 340 00:12:03,782 --> 00:12:05,052 still be able to get your money out, 341 00:12:06,322 --> 00:12:07,378 Saturday, Sunday 342 00:12:08,228 --> 00:12:09,180 around the same price. 343 00:12:09,815 --> 00:12:09,950 You 344 00:12:10,784 --> 00:12:12,611 unless they have an absolute disaster, which obviously 345 00:12:12,611 --> 00:12:13,906 the risk you make. But 346 00:12:14,677 --> 00:12:16,425 you know, even if Mac is start badly 347 00:12:16,425 --> 00:12:18,173 to I made 3 birdie on Friday is 348 00:12:18,173 --> 00:12:19,941 gonna come back into that price because people 349 00:12:19,941 --> 00:12:20,898 think oh, here he comes. 350 00:12:21,935 --> 00:12:23,929 But I'm I'm not backing in, but that's 351 00:12:23,929 --> 00:12:25,285 just something that you... You know, if you 352 00:12:25,285 --> 00:12:26,720 wanted to play around to 2 quid, you 353 00:12:26,720 --> 00:12:28,236 could do that and see how the market 354 00:12:28,236 --> 00:12:28,395 goes. 355 00:12:29,206 --> 00:12:30,158 Next up is 356 00:12:31,667 --> 00:12:31,984 shuffle. 357 00:12:32,937 --> 00:12:34,128 I'm just gonna get his... 358 00:12:35,239 --> 00:12:37,563 Just excuse me. Just changing my sheet. 359 00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:41,878 And just before I finish on Macro, Let's 360 00:12:41,878 --> 00:12:42,857 just give you mac 361 00:12:43,316 --> 00:12:44,275 as I'm on this sheet, 362 00:12:45,169 --> 00:12:46,769 Mac open history. 363 00:12:48,929 --> 00:12:50,929 He obviously, is a winner 1 it at, 364 00:12:51,744 --> 00:12:53,595 he won it in at Royal Liverpool 365 00:12:54,288 --> 00:12:56,196 in 20 14. That was his last major 366 00:12:56,196 --> 00:12:57,093 win, but he was 367 00:12:57,467 --> 00:12:59,614 sick at Royal Liverpool. Last year, he was 368 00:12:59,614 --> 00:13:00,647 third. It's in Andrews. 369 00:13:01,776 --> 00:13:04,801 He's at a 46 at George's a cut 370 00:13:04,801 --> 00:13:07,588 at port rash, but fourth but they'll sick... 371 00:13:07,906 --> 00:13:10,711 Fifth here 20 sixteenth. Fourth at 20 17. 372 00:13:10,950 --> 00:13:13,584 Second at Carlos 20 18. Third it's in 373 00:13:13,903 --> 00:13:17,230 Andrews 20 22 top tied 06/20/2304 374 00:13:17,429 --> 00:13:19,024 you know, he does... He he grew up 375 00:13:19,024 --> 00:13:20,859 playing Links golf. He does play Links golf 376 00:13:20,859 --> 00:13:21,098 well. 377 00:13:21,736 --> 00:13:23,411 I do expect him to be up there, 378 00:13:24,208 --> 00:13:26,202 come, another while expect him and Sheffield to 379 00:13:26,202 --> 00:13:26,681 be up there. 380 00:13:27,813 --> 00:13:29,089 Chef murphy's if he's up there I'd expect 381 00:13:29,089 --> 00:13:30,126 him to go on and win it Mc 382 00:13:30,126 --> 00:13:31,482 or, I don't think he will win it 383 00:13:31,482 --> 00:13:34,194 personally. I'm not sure Mc wins another major, 384 00:13:34,273 --> 00:13:34,752 personally. 385 00:13:35,868 --> 00:13:37,874 I think having seen that chance. Certainly don't 386 00:13:37,874 --> 00:13:39,143 think he's ever gonna win a masters. 387 00:13:41,443 --> 00:13:43,268 But even when even when... 388 00:13:44,061 --> 00:13:46,136 So I 20 22. In Andrews. He had 389 00:13:46,136 --> 00:13:48,672 a chance. He just... The putter goes, whatever 390 00:13:48,672 --> 00:13:49,226 it is. So... 391 00:13:50,336 --> 00:13:50,494 But, 392 00:13:51,858 --> 00:13:53,371 player I was gonna move on to is 393 00:13:54,247 --> 00:13:55,362 za S. 394 00:13:55,840 --> 00:13:57,693 I was very critical of him as a 395 00:13:57,910 --> 00:13:59,741 as a player to get the job done. 396 00:13:59,980 --> 00:14:02,141 He did win the Pga at Val hall, 397 00:14:02,856 --> 00:14:04,603 and 1 it will, this year, full credit 398 00:14:04,603 --> 00:14:05,954 to, looked like having a bit of a 399 00:14:05,954 --> 00:14:06,271 wobble, 400 00:14:07,066 --> 00:14:08,257 but got back on track. 401 00:14:09,925 --> 00:14:12,417 Did his open performance. However, 402 00:14:12,896 --> 00:14:15,794 he is tied 20. Was second at Ka 403 00:14:16,013 --> 00:14:18,091 in 20 18, but then he's tied 40 404 00:14:18,091 --> 00:14:20,896 first tied 26. Tied 15 tied 17. 405 00:14:21,454 --> 00:14:23,682 So other than that 1 car hasn't at 406 00:14:23,682 --> 00:14:24,797 a top 10 at the open, 407 00:14:25,354 --> 00:14:27,597 could I get involved with him at 15, 408 00:14:27,756 --> 00:14:29,666 no matter. And he's a solid player. Could 409 00:14:29,745 --> 00:14:32,234 I get involved with him at 15? Absolutely 410 00:14:32,291 --> 00:14:33,961 not couldn't touch him with a barge pole? 411 00:14:34,850 --> 00:14:36,675 If he wins he wins, I don't think 412 00:14:36,675 --> 00:14:36,993 he will, 413 00:14:37,945 --> 00:14:38,819 but not for me. 414 00:14:39,930 --> 00:14:41,700 Next is M, 415 00:14:43,358 --> 00:14:45,502 in the betting he is 19.5. 416 00:14:46,217 --> 00:14:48,281 I will be having... This will be my 417 00:14:48,281 --> 00:14:48,837 first bet. 418 00:14:49,711 --> 00:14:51,219 If you follow my golf, you will have 419 00:14:51,219 --> 00:14:53,384 seen his name as crept back into things 420 00:14:53,384 --> 00:14:54,845 for me recently, Myra. 421 00:14:56,264 --> 00:14:58,264 He's a fantastic golfer folk, You know, his 422 00:14:58,264 --> 00:15:00,284 peers often say he's the 423 00:15:01,316 --> 00:15:04,195 the best iron player on tour. I think 424 00:15:05,520 --> 00:15:07,186 Scotty She would have something to say about 425 00:15:07,186 --> 00:15:08,931 that. But he is a fantastic golfer. 426 00:15:09,423 --> 00:15:12,291 He was leaving a tournament, the century tournament 427 00:15:12,291 --> 00:15:15,080 of champions in January 23, On wanna say. 428 00:15:15,558 --> 00:15:17,072 He was leaning it by 4 going into 429 00:15:17,072 --> 00:15:18,825 the back 9, and I was watching it. 430 00:15:19,079 --> 00:15:20,908 And he he duff which. He had a 431 00:15:20,908 --> 00:15:23,134 shot into a green only wedge no hundred 432 00:15:23,134 --> 00:15:25,123 yards, and he flat da it. 433 00:15:28,478 --> 00:15:28,876 And, 434 00:15:30,148 --> 00:15:30,546 he's... 435 00:15:31,898 --> 00:15:33,648 It took it. I think it really derailed 436 00:15:33,648 --> 00:15:35,180 him. I think it just kinda thought he 437 00:15:35,180 --> 00:15:37,180 was cruising a victory and he it derailed 438 00:15:37,180 --> 00:15:39,660 him. And he is... He then tried to, 439 00:15:39,820 --> 00:15:41,899 as they all do for whatever reason. I 440 00:15:41,899 --> 00:15:43,634 mean, he's 1 2 majors. He's 1... He 441 00:15:43,993 --> 00:15:44,791 he's he's 1 the. 442 00:15:45,668 --> 00:15:47,662 He's won an open championship. I watched him 443 00:15:47,662 --> 00:15:49,018 down at George when he won it. He 444 00:15:49,018 --> 00:15:50,215 was absolutely in imp. 445 00:15:51,012 --> 00:15:53,979 That week 67 64 68 66, 446 00:15:55,257 --> 00:15:56,296 absolutely flawless. 447 00:15:57,015 --> 00:15:57,515 And 448 00:15:58,453 --> 00:15:59,891 and then they start trying to change their 449 00:15:59,891 --> 00:16:01,384 swing you hit everything with a little cat 450 00:16:01,583 --> 00:16:03,095 starts trying to draw the ball, trying to 451 00:16:03,095 --> 00:16:03,493 change it. 452 00:16:04,288 --> 00:16:05,720 He's gone back to what he knows best. 453 00:16:05,879 --> 00:16:07,311 He's definitely playing better. 454 00:16:08,345 --> 00:16:10,262 He this year. He has missed the cut 455 00:16:10,262 --> 00:16:11,451 in the last 2 opens. 456 00:16:13,274 --> 00:16:14,091 But I 457 00:16:14,859 --> 00:16:15,597 I think 458 00:16:16,303 --> 00:16:17,976 that if he gets his cutting going and 459 00:16:17,976 --> 00:16:19,729 he was he was tied for last week, 460 00:16:19,889 --> 00:16:22,279 same score as Mc roy, I think if 461 00:16:22,279 --> 00:16:24,920 he gets his cutting Putter going, at which 462 00:16:24,920 --> 00:16:26,827 it tends to be the weak point with 463 00:16:26,827 --> 00:16:27,781 his iron play, 464 00:16:28,417 --> 00:16:29,927 I think he could be a big runner 465 00:16:29,927 --> 00:16:32,335 of this week. So I am 466 00:16:35,026 --> 00:16:35,844 I am 467 00:16:36,773 --> 00:16:39,234 backing M car where he's 19.5 468 00:16:39,234 --> 00:16:40,107 in the wind market. 469 00:16:40,599 --> 00:16:41,557 5.2 470 00:16:41,557 --> 00:16:43,712 in the top 5 market 2.82 471 00:16:43,712 --> 00:16:45,170 in the in the 472 00:16:46,985 --> 00:16:48,981 in the top 10 market. I back all 473 00:16:48,981 --> 00:16:50,829 3, sir, So for the first 5 goals 474 00:16:50,988 --> 00:16:52,183 I give you, Back all 3, and then 475 00:16:52,262 --> 00:16:53,775 I've got some higher prices that I just 476 00:16:53,775 --> 00:16:55,129 back in the wind market and look to 477 00:16:55,129 --> 00:16:57,438 trade them. So Mari however, I'm gonna back 478 00:16:57,438 --> 00:16:59,601 him in 3 mark. It's wind, top 5 479 00:16:59,601 --> 00:16:59,998 top 10. 480 00:17:01,429 --> 00:17:03,734 The wind part of that, he is 1 481 00:17:03,734 --> 00:17:05,324 because his putting can be a little bit. 482 00:17:06,436 --> 00:17:06,834 If he... 483 00:17:07,470 --> 00:17:09,724 It's if he trades down at sort of 484 00:17:09,724 --> 00:17:11,404 45I 485 00:17:11,404 --> 00:17:13,404 would remove my stake on him in the 486 00:17:13,404 --> 00:17:15,244 wind market and just leave the wind... Leave 487 00:17:15,244 --> 00:17:16,605 the the profit on the win. 488 00:17:17,497 --> 00:17:19,488 He's definitely 1 if he's going well after 489 00:17:19,488 --> 00:17:20,603 day 1, and I get to look at 490 00:17:20,603 --> 00:17:21,956 the stats and when I'm looking at the 491 00:17:21,956 --> 00:17:22,991 stats after day 1. 492 00:17:23,788 --> 00:17:25,380 I'm really looking at how they're playing. 493 00:17:26,509 --> 00:17:28,179 And I'm not really fast if they've had 494 00:17:28,179 --> 00:17:30,566 a bad cutting day. It's very difficult to 495 00:17:30,566 --> 00:17:32,157 cut well all 4 days and cut your 496 00:17:32,157 --> 00:17:33,924 way to it tree. What you wanna do 497 00:17:33,924 --> 00:17:35,357 is that their plans. If though somebody's had 498 00:17:35,357 --> 00:17:38,066 a solid ball striking day hitting greens, hitting 499 00:17:38,066 --> 00:17:40,536 fairway, not getting themselves in too much trouble, 500 00:17:42,064 --> 00:17:44,215 you know, that's likely that it continue, you 501 00:17:44,215 --> 00:17:45,410 just need them to have a couple of 502 00:17:45,410 --> 00:17:47,481 good padding days. If somebody's hitting it all 503 00:17:47,481 --> 00:17:50,128 over the place, certainly and, Scottish links goal 504 00:17:50,128 --> 00:17:51,807 finding your game is not what you're gonna 505 00:17:51,807 --> 00:17:53,644 do. So if you're... They're missing fairway and 506 00:17:53,644 --> 00:17:55,482 think it's very difficult to hold of a 507 00:17:55,482 --> 00:17:56,921 son come out the next day and start 508 00:17:56,921 --> 00:17:57,320 firing it. 509 00:17:58,453 --> 00:18:00,518 So that's what I'm kind of looking at 510 00:18:00,756 --> 00:18:02,106 when I run those numbers and I have 511 00:18:02,106 --> 00:18:03,218 a look on Friday morning. 512 00:18:04,171 --> 00:18:06,951 So I'm not overly fuss town M cuts 513 00:18:06,951 --> 00:18:08,873 on day 1. If he's up there, and 514 00:18:08,873 --> 00:18:11,494 he's played solidly, he'll almost certainly would feature 515 00:18:11,494 --> 00:18:12,391 in my trades 516 00:18:12,765 --> 00:18:14,751 providing he's not too far back, and the 517 00:18:14,751 --> 00:18:16,913 plumbing hasn't been a disaster. If Obviously, you 518 00:18:16,913 --> 00:18:18,749 just want the pudding well. But if somebody's 519 00:18:18,749 --> 00:18:20,265 up there having not played great, but he's 520 00:18:20,265 --> 00:18:22,580 only had 24 parts, I think well, I'm 521 00:18:22,580 --> 00:18:24,336 not fuss about him because they can't keep 522 00:18:24,336 --> 00:18:26,587 doing that. Know, John Daly did do it 523 00:18:26,907 --> 00:18:28,505 in the... When he won the Pga. And 524 00:18:28,585 --> 00:18:30,583 Brian Harmon, Fair play last year, Brian Harmon 525 00:18:30,663 --> 00:18:32,261 Pat his way the victory didn't miss a 526 00:18:32,261 --> 00:18:32,421 pat, 527 00:18:33,700 --> 00:18:35,541 you under 8 feet or week, 528 00:18:36,415 --> 00:18:37,844 8 feet and under a week. And but 529 00:18:37,844 --> 00:18:39,591 that's not the norm, That's not what normally 530 00:18:39,591 --> 00:18:40,306 goes on. So, 531 00:18:41,258 --> 00:18:42,950 M car, win 532 00:18:43,419 --> 00:18:45,897 win top 5 top 10 for all of 533 00:18:45,897 --> 00:18:48,614 these golfers, But Mari is 1, if he 534 00:18:48,614 --> 00:18:51,011 trades down around 45I would take my wind 535 00:18:51,011 --> 00:18:52,210 stakes. So if I 20 quid on him 536 00:18:52,210 --> 00:18:53,659 at at 09:18.5, 537 00:18:54,137 --> 00:18:56,284 I'd lay the 20 pound at 4 5, 538 00:18:57,715 --> 00:18:59,385 just to leave myself a free bit with 539 00:18:59,385 --> 00:19:00,816 the with the margin in between. 540 00:19:02,088 --> 00:19:02,779 Next is 541 00:19:03,217 --> 00:19:03,694 Ob. 542 00:19:04,886 --> 00:19:06,157 I'll be honest. I couldn't touch him with 543 00:19:06,157 --> 00:19:08,065 a barge poll. He led last week. He 544 00:19:08,065 --> 00:19:09,972 provided a lovely trade for us last week. 545 00:19:10,623 --> 00:19:12,289 Think he's definitely got a sq. I think 546 00:19:12,289 --> 00:19:14,432 he played pretty poorly on the Sunday. 547 00:19:15,542 --> 00:19:17,209 He's never played in an open. 548 00:19:18,257 --> 00:19:20,408 And I don't certainly don't see him rocking 549 00:19:20,408 --> 00:19:21,922 up here, and winning. 550 00:19:23,435 --> 00:19:26,156 For me, I'm I'm quite bullish about that. 551 00:19:26,872 --> 00:19:29,201 I'd much rather be delay in 19 than 552 00:19:29,734 --> 00:19:30,609 considering back in it. 553 00:19:33,327 --> 00:19:34,918 Good goal. He's had a big rise to 554 00:19:34,918 --> 00:19:36,032 the game very quickly. 555 00:19:37,066 --> 00:19:38,918 He was up there in the masters faded 556 00:19:38,975 --> 00:19:39,214 away. 557 00:19:39,850 --> 00:19:40,903 Yep he is good. 558 00:19:41,782 --> 00:19:42,980 I thought he was I thought he was 559 00:19:42,980 --> 00:19:44,658 poor last week in the last round. You 560 00:19:44,658 --> 00:19:46,415 know, he he went from leader to shootings 561 00:19:46,415 --> 00:19:46,495 ins. 562 00:19:47,229 --> 00:19:48,903 Shot plus 3 in the last round, which 563 00:19:48,903 --> 00:19:50,838 was the worst round of of 564 00:19:51,774 --> 00:19:53,289 you know, the people up there. I can't 565 00:19:53,289 --> 00:19:55,442 even find. I'm I'm going way down the 566 00:19:55,442 --> 00:19:57,610 leader board. If find anybody over. The next 567 00:19:57,610 --> 00:20:00,242 was Ro at at tied 26. 568 00:20:01,677 --> 00:20:03,512 Everybody else was shooting 3 under 6 under 569 00:20:03,512 --> 00:20:05,505 7 under 2 under. He was 3 over. 570 00:20:05,745 --> 00:20:05,799 Find 571 00:20:06,954 --> 00:20:09,023 he's got a definite sq from me again 572 00:20:09,023 --> 00:20:11,331 finishing. You know, if young, he'll get better. 573 00:20:12,286 --> 00:20:14,117 I couldn't touch him. I find it absolutely 574 00:20:14,117 --> 00:20:15,605 staggering when I look at people like his 575 00:20:15,724 --> 00:20:17,712 price at 21 in Hof at 40. 576 00:20:20,337 --> 00:20:22,087 You know, Hof AAA 577 00:20:22,087 --> 00:20:24,096 winner price Yeah. He's had his backup, but... 578 00:20:24,335 --> 00:20:26,091 I just find it absolutely staggering that he's 579 00:20:26,091 --> 00:20:27,288 half the price personally. 580 00:20:27,687 --> 00:20:29,363 I'd much rather be on the lay side. 581 00:20:31,372 --> 00:20:33,205 Next up is d Cha 22. 582 00:20:34,879 --> 00:20:36,473 Brilliant, how you on the the 583 00:20:36,951 --> 00:20:38,545 you know, whilst I said he lost it. 584 00:20:38,719 --> 00:20:40,550 That the up and down he made in 585 00:20:40,550 --> 00:20:43,972 that Us open was absolutely stunning at the 586 00:20:43,972 --> 00:20:44,291 last. 587 00:20:45,644 --> 00:20:46,440 I've watched it back. 588 00:20:47,174 --> 00:20:50,615 In preparation for this. Just absolute stunning gold 589 00:20:50,615 --> 00:20:51,974 shot and then to knock the pudding in, 590 00:20:53,174 --> 00:20:55,335 really good really changing. I said after that 591 00:20:55,335 --> 00:20:56,789 event, I back him for that event I 592 00:20:56,789 --> 00:20:59,910 fancy him. He's changed a hundred percent he 593 00:20:59,910 --> 00:21:01,750 has changed his persona which been a real 594 00:21:01,750 --> 00:21:02,230 deliberate 595 00:21:04,005 --> 00:21:06,184 effort to change it. He's, you know, he's 596 00:21:06,244 --> 00:21:08,724 he's becoming somebody that you just want to 597 00:21:08,724 --> 00:21:10,585 be on side. He's he's 598 00:21:10,884 --> 00:21:12,255 fantastic what he did with a trophy when 599 00:21:12,255 --> 00:21:13,450 he won it came around all the crowd. 600 00:21:13,609 --> 00:21:14,963 He's great with youtube's, 601 00:21:15,680 --> 00:21:17,034 trying to educate people, 602 00:21:18,563 --> 00:21:20,156 yeah. He's still got his quirks, you know, 603 00:21:20,315 --> 00:21:22,148 clubs all the same length balls in water, 604 00:21:22,307 --> 00:21:24,219 but part of that makes him, but he's 605 00:21:24,219 --> 00:21:25,812 he's lost that, you know, when he rolled 606 00:21:25,812 --> 00:21:27,166 up at augusta and said this is a 607 00:21:27,166 --> 00:21:28,638 past 6... 8 and 608 00:21:29,414 --> 00:21:31,568 some of that nonsense that he came out 609 00:21:31,568 --> 00:21:33,184 within the the long driving 610 00:21:33,641 --> 00:21:34,120 competition days. 611 00:21:35,077 --> 00:21:37,491 He's becoming dare I say it rather likable 612 00:21:38,041 --> 00:21:39,653 I think he's gonna be golf 613 00:21:40,343 --> 00:21:40,502 superstar. 614 00:21:41,614 --> 00:21:42,884 I kinda find it a bit of a 615 00:21:42,884 --> 00:21:44,392 shame that he's left and went to live. 616 00:21:45,027 --> 00:21:47,113 But you know, that's probably allowing him to 617 00:21:47,113 --> 00:21:48,309 do some of the stuff he's done. 618 00:21:49,425 --> 00:21:51,200 Could I back him for the open championship 619 00:21:51,258 --> 00:21:52,853 having said all that, no? He may well 620 00:21:52,853 --> 00:21:54,463 go well, but he's got a mis cut 621 00:21:54,463 --> 00:21:56,701 tied 51 mis cut tied 33. 622 00:21:57,180 --> 00:21:59,098 Tide 8 at saint Andrews, which is a 623 00:21:59,098 --> 00:22:01,255 bit wider and maybe suits him a bit 624 00:22:01,255 --> 00:22:03,260 more. I'm in our shot level around there 625 00:22:03,260 --> 00:22:03,737 to be fair. 626 00:22:04,850 --> 00:22:06,304 And tied 60, 627 00:22:08,348 --> 00:22:08,985 last year. 628 00:22:10,034 --> 00:22:11,389 I just don't think this is a sort 629 00:22:11,389 --> 00:22:13,143 of gold suits him. I think the the 630 00:22:13,382 --> 00:22:15,136 American course is suit better. 631 00:22:16,411 --> 00:22:17,926 It's gonna probably be a little bit wet. 632 00:22:19,374 --> 00:22:21,123 So not for me. 633 00:22:22,634 --> 00:22:26,054 Next is Tommy Fleet. Tommy Tommy Fleet. 634 00:22:26,944 --> 00:22:29,099 1, I think got a sq. I don't 635 00:22:29,099 --> 00:22:29,919 think Tommy 636 00:22:30,456 --> 00:22:34,208 wins, anything like he should win events. He's 637 00:22:34,208 --> 00:22:35,086 found wanting. 638 00:22:36,455 --> 00:22:38,706 His putter goes missing when he is in 639 00:22:38,923 --> 00:22:42,208 contention. That said, I am backing him for 640 00:22:42,425 --> 00:22:44,653 this event because I think 26 is a 641 00:22:44,653 --> 00:22:45,290 bit too big. 642 00:22:46,823 --> 00:22:49,860 And he'll... I I'm I'm pretty sure he'll 643 00:22:49,860 --> 00:22:51,059 be up there. I think even if it 644 00:22:51,059 --> 00:22:52,577 rains and thinks he's got the game to 645 00:22:52,577 --> 00:22:53,136 be up there. 646 00:22:55,069 --> 00:22:56,344 I'd love him to win it. I'd love 647 00:22:56,344 --> 00:22:57,380 him to win a major. I think he's 648 00:22:57,380 --> 00:22:58,415 a really nice guy. 649 00:22:59,133 --> 00:23:01,204 You know, his open career style of mis 650 00:23:01,204 --> 00:23:02,081 mis mis cut. 651 00:23:03,054 --> 00:23:06,969 He's then being 20 seventh 12/02/3304 652 00:23:06,969 --> 00:23:09,207 tenth. You know, he's got 3 top tens 653 00:23:09,207 --> 00:23:10,325 in the last 4 years. 654 00:23:11,059 --> 00:23:13,600 Is a fantastic iron player, good at work 655 00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:15,267 in the ball flight it up flight it 656 00:23:15,267 --> 00:23:16,696 down, which you're gonna need this week. 657 00:23:17,967 --> 00:23:20,325 So fleet wood is my second bet 26 658 00:23:20,604 --> 00:23:21,643 6.83 659 00:23:21,643 --> 00:23:22,122 0.6. 660 00:23:22,682 --> 00:23:25,239 Very similarly if he trades short, and I'm 661 00:23:25,239 --> 00:23:26,517 talking... When I say short, you gotta be 662 00:23:26,517 --> 00:23:28,435 a bit patient. But if he is up 663 00:23:28,435 --> 00:23:28,675 there, 664 00:23:29,329 --> 00:23:31,564 going into the back 9 on Sunday and 665 00:23:31,564 --> 00:23:34,597 he's sort of around 234I 666 00:23:34,597 --> 00:23:37,071 would definitely be taking my stakes out just 667 00:23:37,071 --> 00:23:37,571 because 668 00:23:38,125 --> 00:23:39,965 It's when they think they can win. You 669 00:23:39,965 --> 00:23:41,485 know, when it's suddenly dawn and the I 670 00:23:41,485 --> 00:23:42,045 could win this, 671 00:23:42,924 --> 00:23:45,325 his putter definitely as a tendency to go 672 00:23:45,325 --> 00:23:45,565 cold. 673 00:23:46,458 --> 00:23:48,532 But fleet would, as I say, these top 674 00:23:48,532 --> 00:23:49,888 win top 10 top, 675 00:23:50,366 --> 00:23:50,866 5 676 00:23:51,244 --> 00:23:54,035 fleet would 26, 6.8 in the top 5, 677 00:23:54,195 --> 00:23:55,391 3.6 top 10. 678 00:23:57,399 --> 00:23:59,391 Next is Ty Hat. 32. 679 00:24:00,347 --> 00:24:02,498 I mentioned in that last open Trim, he 680 00:24:02,498 --> 00:24:04,570 finished tied fifth with Mc 4 under as 681 00:24:04,570 --> 00:24:05,707 a say 13 682 00:24:06,814 --> 00:24:10,076 13 shots behind Mick, 16 shots behind stint 683 00:24:10,076 --> 00:24:10,576 and 684 00:24:11,507 --> 00:24:13,193 gone to live. I don't like the guy. 685 00:24:13,352 --> 00:24:14,624 I'll be honest. I think the way ab 686 00:24:14,624 --> 00:24:16,692 behaves is some people find it funny. I 687 00:24:16,692 --> 00:24:16,930 don't. 688 00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:20,191 I don't doubt that he's a good golfer. 689 00:24:21,463 --> 00:24:22,869 He's not for me. I just don't think 690 00:24:23,069 --> 00:24:24,349 just don't think he's good enough to win 691 00:24:24,349 --> 00:24:24,829 simple as that. 692 00:24:26,190 --> 00:24:27,710 I think you you can't be as hot 693 00:24:27,710 --> 00:24:29,869 headed as that. And I think it holds 694 00:24:29,869 --> 00:24:31,710 him back as I'm amusing as people may 695 00:24:31,710 --> 00:24:32,029 find it. 696 00:24:33,084 --> 00:24:34,602 And I said the same about Ram a 697 00:24:34,602 --> 00:24:35,321 few years ago. 698 00:24:36,839 --> 00:24:37,658 So Hat 699 00:24:38,437 --> 00:24:39,895 bypassed for me comfortably. 700 00:24:41,090 --> 00:24:43,410 John Ram is the same price 32. 701 00:24:43,970 --> 00:24:45,970 I mean, absolutely staggering to see John Ram 702 00:24:45,970 --> 00:24:46,930 at 32 703 00:24:46,930 --> 00:24:49,010 pit If we around 12 years, he'd be... 704 00:24:49,248 --> 00:24:51,708 He'd be up around mac price 10:11. He'd 705 00:24:51,708 --> 00:24:53,477 certainly be between mc 706 00:24:54,167 --> 00:24:54,564 sheffield. 707 00:24:57,437 --> 00:24:57,834 And 708 00:24:58,866 --> 00:25:00,081 just shows you what 709 00:25:00,534 --> 00:25:01,804 taking 500000000 710 00:25:01,804 --> 00:25:04,583 sand, saying I don't need to earn another 711 00:25:04,583 --> 00:25:04,901 penny, 712 00:25:05,633 --> 00:25:08,685 2 years ago to taking 500000000 713 00:25:09,142 --> 00:25:11,136 to playing 54 whole events. 714 00:25:12,413 --> 00:25:14,087 I'll just look and I see Cam Smith 715 00:25:14,087 --> 00:25:15,859 price down at 7 to you won this 716 00:25:15,859 --> 00:25:18,259 2 years ago, John Ram price 32. 717 00:25:18,819 --> 00:25:20,419 And it is down to Levi he's turned 718 00:25:20,419 --> 00:25:22,679 up at the masters missed the cup Sham 719 00:25:23,074 --> 00:25:24,903 He's turned up at the Pga being a 720 00:25:24,903 --> 00:25:25,381 sham. 721 00:25:25,778 --> 00:25:27,846 He pulled out the Us open a day 722 00:25:27,846 --> 00:25:28,085 before. 723 00:25:30,168 --> 00:25:31,599 Can't touch him with a barge pole at 724 00:25:31,599 --> 00:25:33,506 the minute. I think it's a real Of, 725 00:25:33,665 --> 00:25:35,572 you know, to see him go to the 726 00:25:35,572 --> 00:25:36,844 other side was a real shame. 727 00:25:37,797 --> 00:25:39,484 Some of the golfing played that start of 728 00:25:39,484 --> 00:25:41,005 last year. I I talked about it, when 729 00:25:41,085 --> 00:25:42,684 I did Gold puts and watching him down 730 00:25:42,684 --> 00:25:43,184 at, 731 00:25:44,204 --> 00:25:45,884 To Pines in to run up to that, 732 00:25:46,525 --> 00:25:48,692 to the farmers. He was at absolutely superb. 733 00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:52,189 If he gets it going first round He'd 734 00:25:52,189 --> 00:25:53,540 1, I'd look out after the first round, 735 00:25:53,699 --> 00:25:54,994 but I can easily 736 00:25:55,304 --> 00:25:57,377 count him as a pre tournament bet. 737 00:25:58,892 --> 00:26:00,407 Next is Holland, 738 00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:03,936 Hof is priced at 739 00:26:04,409 --> 00:26:04,890 40. 740 00:26:06,569 --> 00:26:08,329 I just wanna actually so I'll keep... I'll 741 00:26:08,329 --> 00:26:11,105 keep flicking between sheets. Let's just give you 742 00:26:11,785 --> 00:26:14,265 just because people go, wrong where you just 743 00:26:14,265 --> 00:26:15,625 sick that it's gone to live, but let 744 00:26:15,625 --> 00:26:16,904 me, I'm just gonna give you. 745 00:26:17,704 --> 00:26:19,224 That isn't the sole reason. I just think 746 00:26:19,224 --> 00:26:20,160 that's affecting his 747 00:26:20,995 --> 00:26:21,393 performance. 748 00:26:24,018 --> 00:26:24,496 The 749 00:26:25,689 --> 00:26:27,144 bra, he has been 750 00:26:28,009 --> 00:26:29,913 he was second at royal Liverpool report 30 751 00:26:29,913 --> 00:26:32,055 fourth at saint Andrews. He was third at 752 00:26:32,213 --> 00:26:34,910 George. Eleventh at Port Rash mis cup 44 753 00:26:34,910 --> 00:26:35,386 59. 754 00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:37,640 So his open form So what Mean, he's 755 00:26:37,640 --> 00:26:39,160 dino last year tied second, 756 00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:42,039 and then he's down priced at 32. 757 00:26:43,572 --> 00:26:44,922 I just can't see it this year. Been 758 00:26:44,922 --> 00:26:47,146 playing so poorly and I'm going live simple 759 00:26:47,146 --> 00:26:47,464 as that. 760 00:26:49,528 --> 00:26:50,561 So next was, 761 00:26:51,849 --> 00:26:52,567 Victor H, 762 00:26:53,445 --> 00:26:54,882 who is priced at 40. 763 00:26:57,516 --> 00:26:59,771 Victor Hof will win 764 00:27:00,244 --> 00:27:01,923 Yeah makes... I'll make... I like to make 765 00:27:01,923 --> 00:27:03,681 bold statements at times. As you know, I 766 00:27:03,681 --> 00:27:05,039 think if you've... You're gonna bet, you've got 767 00:27:05,039 --> 00:27:06,179 out the courage of 768 00:27:06,637 --> 00:27:08,635 conviction and make statements. So I don't... Some 769 00:27:08,635 --> 00:27:09,766 of them I make. Sort of, 770 00:27:11,671 --> 00:27:14,528 tongue in cheek. But Victor Hof will win 771 00:27:14,528 --> 00:27:16,275 a major, and I am pretty sure that 772 00:27:16,354 --> 00:27:18,514 Victor H will win an open champion 1 773 00:27:18,514 --> 00:27:20,348 of the reasons why a part of his 774 00:27:20,348 --> 00:27:22,901 game that struggles is chipping and around an 775 00:27:22,901 --> 00:27:24,735 open champion chip can pop from off the 776 00:27:24,735 --> 00:27:26,250 green a little bit better, or he can 777 00:27:26,250 --> 00:27:27,606 just play a little bump and run. He's 778 00:27:27,606 --> 00:27:28,220 not got 779 00:27:29,212 --> 00:27:31,516 float with thick grasses and things that you 780 00:27:31,516 --> 00:27:33,740 can get in the states around the greens 781 00:27:33,740 --> 00:27:36,838 bermuda grass and things. 3 open championships, 12 782 00:27:36,838 --> 00:27:37,633 4 thirteenth, 783 00:27:39,801 --> 00:27:42,436 solid golfer maybe hasn't been playing these best 784 00:27:42,436 --> 00:27:43,793 this year, but I just love and I 785 00:27:43,793 --> 00:27:45,869 said it earlier. I cannot see how H 786 00:27:45,869 --> 00:27:47,465 is 40. Look some things just come down 787 00:27:47,465 --> 00:27:49,880 a price. I cannot see how Holland is 788 00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:50,359 40, 789 00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:52,440 and Ob is 21. 790 00:27:52,840 --> 00:27:54,359 I cannot for the life of me if 791 00:27:54,440 --> 00:27:55,960 I was pricing them up. I couldn't have 792 00:27:55,960 --> 00:27:57,080 them anywhere near that. 793 00:27:57,891 --> 00:27:59,636 I have... I'm not saying Having the other 794 00:27:59,636 --> 00:28:01,961 way around blood have to have Hof person 795 00:28:02,096 --> 00:28:02,652 above Ob. 796 00:28:04,968 --> 00:28:06,240 I do think he's gonna win a major 797 00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:09,124 sometime time. So I am backing him H 798 00:28:09,259 --> 00:28:11,246 47.8 799 00:28:11,246 --> 00:28:13,074 in the top 5, 4.2 800 00:28:13,074 --> 00:28:14,600 in the top. 10 market. 801 00:28:15,794 --> 00:28:18,341 After Holland is Shane Lowry, lots of people 802 00:28:18,341 --> 00:28:19,716 will be on Shane Larry 803 00:28:20,330 --> 00:28:20,808 this week. 804 00:28:22,081 --> 00:28:24,245 When you hear the name hang larry. You'll 805 00:28:24,245 --> 00:28:25,781 hear people like Mc, 806 00:28:27,113 --> 00:28:27,431 say, 807 00:28:29,343 --> 00:28:32,265 fantastic links play, shane, hands of silver, hang 808 00:28:32,543 --> 00:28:34,851 brilliant round the greens, great links player. 809 00:28:35,886 --> 00:28:37,796 I like Shane Larry. I I think a 810 00:28:37,796 --> 00:28:38,671 fantastic guy. 811 00:28:40,357 --> 00:28:42,104 Another 1. I don't think he... He's won 812 00:28:42,104 --> 00:28:43,930 anything like what he should have done. 813 00:28:44,883 --> 00:28:47,503 Is Shane Lowry, a fantastic links player. 814 00:28:48,313 --> 00:28:51,659 Type 37 tide 30 second tide ninth, mis 815 00:28:51,659 --> 00:28:54,526 cut, mis cut, mis cut, mis cut, 1 816 00:28:54,526 --> 00:28:56,757 at port rush 12:20 817 00:28:56,757 --> 00:28:57,889 first. Mis cut. 818 00:28:58,688 --> 00:29:01,324 I don't think that's a fantastically great links 819 00:29:01,324 --> 00:29:04,041 player. He's had 1 top 10 at the 820 00:29:04,041 --> 00:29:05,020 open in 821 00:29:05,413 --> 00:29:06,759 what, 246, 822 00:29:06,997 --> 00:29:08,527 08:10, 11 appearances. 823 00:29:09,453 --> 00:29:11,038 He's at a win and 1 top 10. 824 00:29:11,196 --> 00:29:11,934 He's had 825 00:29:12,639 --> 00:29:13,994 5 of those he's mister the cut. 826 00:29:16,385 --> 00:29:18,218 I think it's a little bit like, porch 827 00:29:18,218 --> 00:29:19,732 is a good manager. It's all a bit 828 00:29:19,732 --> 00:29:20,210 of a myth. 829 00:29:21,102 --> 00:29:23,653 He's a very good golfer. He won superb 830 00:29:23,653 --> 00:29:25,087 at Port Rush. You know? He's out in 831 00:29:25,087 --> 00:29:27,956 front after 3. 1 superb. Fleet would didn't 832 00:29:27,956 --> 00:29:29,560 lay what I talked about fleet within that 833 00:29:29,560 --> 00:29:31,784 final round made it easy for him. Chance 834 00:29:31,784 --> 00:29:33,770 didn't lay a glove on him. Putter went 835 00:29:33,770 --> 00:29:34,088 cold, 836 00:29:34,882 --> 00:29:35,994 but you still got go and do it. 837 00:29:36,153 --> 00:29:37,042 Got to doing it. From front of your 838 00:29:37,042 --> 00:29:38,474 home Crown Ireland, he did, 839 00:29:39,588 --> 00:29:40,701 but I can't be backing in him this 840 00:29:40,701 --> 00:29:42,133 way. I can't be touching him at 50. 841 00:29:42,292 --> 00:29:42,690 I'm afraid. 842 00:29:44,201 --> 00:29:46,922 Just not for me. Front Brooks cup because 843 00:29:46,922 --> 00:29:49,309 also 50 cook car fancy strongly at the 844 00:29:49,468 --> 00:29:51,060 Us open opening he went out and was 845 00:29:51,060 --> 00:29:51,378 shocking. 846 00:29:52,015 --> 00:29:53,766 I think his price is too big 50, 847 00:29:54,164 --> 00:29:56,171 but you have to get shortlist, and I've 848 00:29:56,171 --> 00:29:58,246 excluded in, but I couldn't... I couldn't put 849 00:29:58,246 --> 00:30:00,160 anybody people said me Backing cup at 50. 850 00:30:00,320 --> 00:30:01,516 I couldn't put you off it. I'll be 851 00:30:01,516 --> 00:30:02,016 honest 852 00:30:02,488 --> 00:30:03,922 and the other 1 at fifties has Gone 853 00:30:03,922 --> 00:30:06,311 55 now. Is Bob Mc, who won at 854 00:30:06,311 --> 00:30:06,948 the weekend, 855 00:30:07,983 --> 00:30:08,780 Scottish open, 856 00:30:09,178 --> 00:30:11,343 first Scottish winner for 20 odd years. Of 857 00:30:11,343 --> 00:30:12,374 it, their own open, 858 00:30:12,929 --> 00:30:14,833 very dodgy drop, as I mentioned in the 859 00:30:14,833 --> 00:30:16,737 podcast yesterday just a proper moody drop. That 860 00:30:16,737 --> 00:30:16,895 was, 861 00:30:19,275 --> 00:30:21,287 of you know, you'd you'd be pissed off 862 00:30:21,287 --> 00:30:22,805 if you're were Adam Scott. I'm not gonna 863 00:30:22,805 --> 00:30:24,323 lie. But great to see him when and 864 00:30:24,323 --> 00:30:25,442 you still gotta hit the shots. So you 865 00:30:25,442 --> 00:30:27,452 topped the drop. He's still in temper. The 866 00:30:27,452 --> 00:30:28,802 pat made a great Birdie at the last. 867 00:30:29,041 --> 00:30:30,153 I think he's a lovely guy. I think 868 00:30:30,153 --> 00:30:31,980 he's great for Golf, Great for British gulf. 869 00:30:33,092 --> 00:30:35,078 2 wins this year he's becoming a serious 870 00:30:35,078 --> 00:30:37,158 golfer. I loved afterwards he just said, I'm 871 00:30:37,158 --> 00:30:38,669 gonna enjoy this. I'll turn up at the 872 00:30:38,669 --> 00:30:40,498 open when I turn up, I'm gonna have 873 00:30:40,498 --> 00:30:42,406 a beer with my family and savor this. 874 00:30:42,883 --> 00:30:44,791 And that's absolutely what you should be doing. 875 00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:47,751 But for that reason, Bob, I can't back 876 00:30:47,751 --> 00:30:49,263 your, son. I hope you have a good 877 00:30:49,263 --> 00:30:51,332 week. I think you might, but you might 878 00:30:51,332 --> 00:30:53,836 turn up with a rage in tenants hang 879 00:30:53,892 --> 00:30:55,480 sun, so I'm gonna leave you out. 880 00:30:57,227 --> 00:30:59,213 The next 2 golfers are the final 2 881 00:30:59,213 --> 00:31:00,722 that I'm backing aren't the flyers, 882 00:31:01,375 --> 00:31:03,214 by flies. I mean, really big prices and 883 00:31:03,214 --> 00:31:04,734 we'll get to those in a minute. Tom 884 00:31:04,974 --> 00:31:06,174 Kim is 55. 885 00:31:06,414 --> 00:31:08,275 I think this guy is destined 886 00:31:10,024 --> 00:31:11,137 way, think he's destined a bit of bit 887 00:31:11,137 --> 00:31:14,000 of a golf superstar, Fantastic player, a really 888 00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:15,272 good player, really nice guy. 889 00:31:17,989 --> 00:31:19,577 Played well last week, minus 12. 890 00:31:20,212 --> 00:31:22,910 Key... Finished finished strongly 6 under on the 891 00:31:22,910 --> 00:31:24,101 final day on Sunday. 892 00:31:26,656 --> 00:31:28,559 He's 1, again, I think he'll be a 893 00:31:28,559 --> 00:31:29,273 a future, 894 00:31:31,415 --> 00:31:32,764 a future major champion. 895 00:31:33,891 --> 00:31:36,039 I think Links golf suits his game and, 896 00:31:36,198 --> 00:31:37,789 you know, last week, kind of back that 897 00:31:37,789 --> 00:31:39,005 up again with the 898 00:31:39,618 --> 00:31:41,781 12 under... Is very reasonable, you know, it's 899 00:31:41,781 --> 00:31:43,292 not often people win back to back, 900 00:31:44,325 --> 00:31:47,029 Scottish open and and open. So I just 901 00:31:47,029 --> 00:31:48,460 like to look for somebody, but he was 902 00:31:48,460 --> 00:31:50,051 second at royal liverpool last year. 903 00:31:51,735 --> 00:31:52,927 You know, he can play. 904 00:31:53,642 --> 00:31:55,072 1 of those the more he plays over 905 00:31:55,072 --> 00:31:56,423 here. I think the better he's gonna get. 906 00:31:56,821 --> 00:31:58,807 So Tom Kim at 55. 907 00:31:59,618 --> 00:32:02,010 In the wind market, 11.5 908 00:32:02,010 --> 00:32:04,800 in the top 5 market 5.9 top 10 909 00:32:04,800 --> 00:32:05,837 is the fourth golfer. 910 00:32:06,714 --> 00:32:07,910 I'm back in pre event, 911 00:32:08,563 --> 00:32:10,638 and then the fifth golfer I'm back in 912 00:32:10,638 --> 00:32:12,313 is the next in the bedding is Tony 913 00:32:12,393 --> 00:32:13,670 Ph out at 60. 914 00:32:16,078 --> 00:32:18,629 Small interest on Tony. He was 1 of 915 00:32:18,629 --> 00:32:19,766 those who was 916 00:32:20,940 --> 00:32:23,092 eighteenth clear last time, I think you tied 917 00:32:23,092 --> 00:32:23,331 eighteenth. 918 00:32:24,461 --> 00:32:26,450 With a bad final round shot 74. 919 00:32:27,007 --> 00:32:28,917 Obviously, 8 years Only has 1 since. 920 00:32:30,111 --> 00:32:31,645 You know, he was 1 that was famously 921 00:32:31,702 --> 00:32:33,388 couldn't win and and any he did get 922 00:32:33,388 --> 00:32:35,141 over line again, probably doesn't win enough for 923 00:32:35,141 --> 00:32:35,699 his talent. 924 00:32:37,372 --> 00:32:39,682 I think it could he could be monty 925 00:32:39,682 --> 00:32:41,515 like Fe. He could go through his career 926 00:32:41,515 --> 00:32:42,765 and not win a major. Get 927 00:32:43,600 --> 00:32:45,192 and be, you know, pretty good and up 928 00:32:45,192 --> 00:32:46,465 there, but just not get it done. 929 00:32:47,500 --> 00:32:48,557 But at 60, 930 00:32:49,728 --> 00:32:50,940 again, I just look at some of the 931 00:32:50,940 --> 00:32:52,700 golfers below him and think I'd rather be 932 00:32:52,700 --> 00:32:53,900 on fee out at 60, 933 00:32:55,180 --> 00:32:56,940 than some of those shorter. And again, that's 934 00:32:56,940 --> 00:32:59,271 1. He's 1 I'd probably look to if 935 00:32:59,271 --> 00:33:01,336 he traded sub 10, I'd take my stake 936 00:33:01,336 --> 00:33:01,495 out. 937 00:33:02,527 --> 00:33:04,036 You know, so I leave the place bits, 938 00:33:04,194 --> 00:33:05,782 But if he traded sub 10, I'd take 939 00:33:05,782 --> 00:33:06,656 my stake out of him. 940 00:33:07,705 --> 00:33:09,693 Tony Female. Let's hope you go, well, and 941 00:33:09,693 --> 00:33:11,204 nice guy as well, really nice guy, Tony 942 00:33:11,284 --> 00:33:13,431 Fin, Great to wear him talk. A good 943 00:33:13,431 --> 00:33:15,261 family man got about 82 kids. 944 00:33:15,992 --> 00:33:17,027 But I like him a lot I like 945 00:33:17,027 --> 00:33:17,744 the way plays Golf, 946 00:33:18,620 --> 00:33:20,132 just wish Again he'd all a few more 947 00:33:20,132 --> 00:33:20,292 paths. 948 00:33:21,327 --> 00:33:22,521 And then I've got what I call the 949 00:33:22,521 --> 00:33:22,840 flyers. 950 00:33:24,128 --> 00:33:25,321 And this is people who 951 00:33:26,513 --> 00:33:28,262 Are just for me way too bigger price, 952 00:33:28,421 --> 00:33:29,772 and these I will just back them in 953 00:33:29,772 --> 00:33:31,442 the wind market and look to trade them. 954 00:33:32,335 --> 00:33:34,014 1 of them is somebody who I have 955 00:33:34,014 --> 00:33:36,494 followed. I normally picked 3 figure prices for 956 00:33:36,494 --> 00:33:36,734 these. 957 00:33:37,454 --> 00:33:38,734 I normally only do 1 or 2, but 958 00:33:38,815 --> 00:33:40,849 I've got 3 today. 1 959 00:33:41,387 --> 00:33:42,983 is somebody. I keep keeps saying we'll win 960 00:33:42,983 --> 00:33:44,739 a major. He's got a win first. He 961 00:33:44,739 --> 00:33:46,814 keeps coming second. He keeps finding a way 962 00:33:46,814 --> 00:33:48,490 to snatch the feet from the jaws of 963 00:33:48,490 --> 00:33:51,126 victory. He was a fantastic second in this 964 00:33:51,126 --> 00:33:52,634 2 years ago to Kim Smith, 965 00:33:53,507 --> 00:33:55,492 is Cameron Young, who is 90. It's just 966 00:33:55,492 --> 00:33:56,523 too big a price for him. 967 00:33:57,969 --> 00:34:00,286 If he gets it going, he is electric, 968 00:34:00,446 --> 00:34:02,684 he can make Birdie after Birdie after Birdie. 969 00:34:04,362 --> 00:34:06,771 He's just never got over the line. And 970 00:34:06,771 --> 00:34:09,157 obviously, that plays a mental Gulf is Gulf 971 00:34:09,157 --> 00:34:10,452 is without a doubt 972 00:34:10,906 --> 00:34:13,053 the mentally toughest game to play. 973 00:34:13,689 --> 00:34:15,280 People will come up with other sports, but 974 00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:15,939 it is 975 00:34:16,329 --> 00:34:17,865 it is an absolute mental 976 00:34:18,401 --> 00:34:20,155 examination and and these... You know, I talk 977 00:34:20,155 --> 00:34:22,307 about scarring betting when you don't win golf 978 00:34:22,307 --> 00:34:24,401 tournaments tournaments and you keep getting beaten and 979 00:34:24,714 --> 00:34:26,871 ways to get beat it mentally scars you. 980 00:34:28,069 --> 00:34:29,907 Every facet of the game requires you to 981 00:34:29,907 --> 00:34:31,480 be on, but this guy is a fantastic 982 00:34:31,599 --> 00:34:33,514 stick player. I am absolutely convinced you will 983 00:34:33,514 --> 00:34:34,949 win tournaments. I think he'll be a bit 984 00:34:34,949 --> 00:34:37,023 like She when he wins 1. He'll win 985 00:34:37,023 --> 00:34:37,422 a few, 986 00:34:38,458 --> 00:34:40,771 and Cam young at 90 is my first 987 00:34:40,771 --> 00:34:41,090 flyer. 988 00:34:41,744 --> 00:34:43,417 As I say, I will look to trade 989 00:34:43,417 --> 00:34:43,577 him. 990 00:34:44,852 --> 00:34:45,830 Second is 991 00:34:46,207 --> 00:34:46,924 Max H, 992 00:34:48,439 --> 00:34:50,526 ridiculous price max, home in 1 80. He 993 00:34:50,526 --> 00:34:52,441 hasn't got a great major record. He's a 994 00:34:52,441 --> 00:34:54,695 fantastic goal for good golfer hard courses 995 00:34:55,950 --> 00:34:57,806 to him to be 1 80 996 00:34:58,901 --> 00:35:01,302 against again, You know, you... You you... It's 997 00:35:01,302 --> 00:35:03,130 only... You've gotta look at it in comparison 998 00:35:03,130 --> 00:35:04,721 to the field and the people below him 999 00:35:04,721 --> 00:35:05,675 at better prices. 1000 00:35:07,026 --> 00:35:10,388 And I just can't just knocked back him 1001 00:35:10,388 --> 00:35:10,888 at, 1002 00:35:11,986 --> 00:35:13,904 1 80. He finished tenth. You know, you 1003 00:35:13,904 --> 00:35:15,182 had a top 10 in a major, then 1004 00:35:15,182 --> 00:35:16,701 he did it at the open last year 1005 00:35:16,701 --> 00:35:17,820 finished his tenth last year, 1006 00:35:18,555 --> 00:35:20,954 he's not played brilliant this year, which reflects 1007 00:35:20,954 --> 00:35:23,675 the price, but he's not a 1 80 1008 00:35:23,675 --> 00:35:24,155 shot 1009 00:35:24,635 --> 00:35:27,195 in any golf tournament on the planet anywhere. 1010 00:35:27,927 --> 00:35:29,356 He should not be a hundred and 80. 1011 00:35:29,515 --> 00:35:30,945 So Max Home 1 80. 1012 00:35:31,661 --> 00:35:32,931 And the final 1, 1013 00:35:34,774 --> 00:35:36,443 is a real sling in the dark. Remember 1014 00:35:36,523 --> 00:35:38,590 Todd Hamilton 1 ear in 2004, 1015 00:35:39,623 --> 00:35:41,293 you know, the open can throw up, 1016 00:35:42,739 --> 00:35:44,574 somebody gets it going, Todd Hamilton I was 1017 00:35:44,574 --> 00:35:46,329 up there that year, friend of mine played 1018 00:35:46,329 --> 00:35:46,568 in it. 1019 00:35:47,367 --> 00:35:48,962 We both went a final qualifying. He got... 1020 00:35:49,042 --> 00:35:49,941 You know, I didn't 1021 00:35:50,573 --> 00:35:52,489 and he played 2 rounds, and I walked 1022 00:35:52,489 --> 00:35:52,888 around with him. 1023 00:35:54,245 --> 00:35:55,602 And then we stayed up and watch the 1024 00:35:55,602 --> 00:35:57,198 last couple of days and Todd Hamilton, I 1025 00:35:57,198 --> 00:35:58,236 don't know whether the people remember it he 1026 00:35:58,236 --> 00:36:00,328 went around, he was chipping with a rescue 1027 00:36:00,328 --> 00:36:01,926 club just playing bump and runs with a 1028 00:36:01,926 --> 00:36:02,565 rescue club. 1029 00:36:03,364 --> 00:36:05,202 I think Mick finished Might finished second or 1030 00:36:05,202 --> 00:36:05,681 third thing. 1031 00:36:07,213 --> 00:36:09,117 And he was just... Yeah, just incredible, 1032 00:36:10,068 --> 00:36:10,544 Hamilton. 1033 00:36:11,972 --> 00:36:13,478 So you can't start. He was a massive 1034 00:36:13,478 --> 00:36:13,795 price. 1035 00:36:15,317 --> 00:36:16,903 So I'm going for 1 at a big 1036 00:36:16,903 --> 00:36:18,966 price that might just spring a surprise. 1037 00:36:20,077 --> 00:36:22,059 If I can find him Just calling up 1038 00:36:22,059 --> 00:36:25,102 there. In it... Is Victor Perez, 1039 00:36:26,859 --> 00:36:28,797 who is 300 1040 00:36:29,016 --> 00:36:31,107 end. I've just locked Team I can't. Well, 1041 00:36:31,266 --> 00:36:33,021 don't wait. Are there 300. He's 3 hun. 1042 00:36:33,420 --> 00:36:35,095 Almost like somebody's early me say Victor victory 1043 00:36:35,095 --> 00:36:36,849 was 03:10 a minute ago, 03:20. 1044 00:36:37,328 --> 00:36:39,721 Oops 03:20. Sorry yeah. And he is now 1045 00:36:39,721 --> 00:36:40,255 300 1046 00:36:41,174 --> 00:36:44,694 Victor Perez 300 is the final flyer. 1047 00:36:45,414 --> 00:36:47,335 Another player in the 3 hundreds, I can 1048 00:36:47,335 --> 00:36:50,030 put anybody off having a little 5 on 1049 00:36:50,149 --> 00:36:51,736 would be justin in Rose as well. Justin 1050 00:36:51,816 --> 00:36:54,039 Rose, Fair play and went through qualifying for 1051 00:36:54,039 --> 00:36:54,197 this. 1052 00:36:55,706 --> 00:36:57,556 You know, it didn't didn't get in 1053 00:36:58,103 --> 00:37:00,962 made himself go to qualifying, 1 the fine 1054 00:37:00,962 --> 00:37:02,948 1 the final qualifying, he picks it up. 1055 00:37:03,663 --> 00:37:05,728 Hasn't been playing too badly, Justin Rose, another 1056 00:37:05,728 --> 00:37:07,476 good player on bet on tough courses. 1057 00:37:08,445 --> 00:37:10,275 03:30. You could have a little 5 for 1058 00:37:10,354 --> 00:37:12,502 Justin Rose. But my 3 main flyers are 1059 00:37:12,502 --> 00:37:14,570 young 95 homer 1 70, 1060 00:37:15,063 --> 00:37:16,420 perez 03:20. 1061 00:37:16,978 --> 00:37:17,616 I will 1062 00:37:19,849 --> 00:37:22,721 I will post in the telegram room after 1063 00:37:22,721 --> 00:37:24,555 round 1, I will probably do it Friday 1064 00:37:24,555 --> 00:37:24,690 9 1065 00:37:25,929 --> 00:37:27,130 obviously, we'll be able to see the draw, 1066 00:37:27,369 --> 00:37:29,530 see who's playing mornings and afternoon, see what 1067 00:37:29,530 --> 00:37:30,250 the weather's like. 1068 00:37:31,050 --> 00:37:32,489 And that all comes into it, You know, 1069 00:37:32,650 --> 00:37:34,501 I like to have people who perhaps, they've 1070 00:37:34,501 --> 00:37:35,695 played well on the Friday, 1071 00:37:36,490 --> 00:37:38,400 on the Thursday afternoon and they're out early 1072 00:37:38,400 --> 00:37:40,151 on the Friday morning, and they can go 1073 00:37:40,151 --> 00:37:41,480 out, and make a couple of birdie. They 1074 00:37:41,599 --> 00:37:43,036 shorten up on the leader board. I'm looking 1075 00:37:43,036 --> 00:37:44,713 to trade them. So all that comes into 1076 00:37:44,713 --> 00:37:46,389 it. So I'll be having a good look 1077 00:37:46,389 --> 00:37:47,587 at that over the next couple of days, 1078 00:37:47,747 --> 00:37:49,104 and it will be in the F fps 1079 00:37:49,104 --> 00:37:52,014 telegram room. The trades after around 1, But 1080 00:37:52,074 --> 00:37:54,231 just to run you through my picks pre 1081 00:37:54,231 --> 00:37:54,631 tournament, 1082 00:37:55,510 --> 00:37:56,010 Mara, 1083 00:37:56,469 --> 00:37:57,508 19.5 1084 00:37:57,508 --> 00:38:00,305 wind market 5.2 top 5 2.82 1085 00:38:00,305 --> 00:38:02,159 top 10. Fleet with 26, 1086 00:38:02,480 --> 00:38:03,360 6.8 1087 00:38:03,360 --> 00:38:04,480 and 3.6. 1088 00:38:05,119 --> 00:38:07,440 Hof 47.8 1089 00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:08,480 and 4.2. 1090 00:38:09,054 --> 00:38:10,170 Kim 55, 1091 00:38:10,568 --> 00:38:11,525 11.5 1092 00:38:11,525 --> 00:38:12,641 and 5.9, 1093 00:38:13,119 --> 00:38:15,829 and fee now 60, 12.5 1094 00:38:15,829 --> 00:38:16,865 and 6.2. 1095 00:38:17,279 --> 00:38:18,950 And then the flies I'm throwing a few 1096 00:38:18,950 --> 00:38:21,497 quid at, young at 95 homer at 1 1097 00:38:21,497 --> 00:38:21,997 70 1098 00:38:22,372 --> 00:38:24,123 and Perez at 300. 1099 00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:26,431 He's back to 03:20 now a you're quick. 1100 00:38:27,243 --> 00:38:29,875 Have a enjoy the gulf. Greatest event of 1101 00:38:29,875 --> 00:38:32,267 the year. Have great fun South gates gone. 1102 00:38:32,507 --> 00:38:33,384 It's a beautiful day, 1103 00:38:34,101 --> 00:38:35,458 and I'll be back with you also.