Good afternoon. Welcome to the F fps bets
slip on
Tuesday, the sixteenth of July, this is take
2.
I'm gonna do a little open championship preview.
I recorded this
about 09:00 this morning
is and realized I'd inadvertently
there's a button on the microphone that says
mute. I'd inadvertently hit the mute button
on the microphone,
and I talked to myself basically for about
35 minutes.
There was no recording. It was blank. I'd
been chi in way,
And
yeah, nothing to show for it. I then
add things to do being out,
come back.
Some, this is take 2. And when I
recorded it this morning,
Garrett South gate was in a job, and
now we get to this afternoon in the
isn't, and I've been doing the moment call
afternoon,
good fucking rid on my part. I can't
I can't bear them in. Simple as that.
You can all say he's a lovely guy
this and lovely guy when there was racing
them in this stadium didn't near it.
That's a man measure of the man.
Good rid.
I can end my exile of watching in
England. Now
20 18 Never watched the game live since
the Croatia game, I can sit and
watch them unless of course, as somebody said,
what if it's fact Frank. Said, well, if
it's frank frank the Exile, the self imposed
exile will have to continue.
I very much expect it will be potter
or hal.
I can't get the... How do I get
how of a out of a club job.
Potter, I wouldn't be adverse to Potter, I'll
be honest.
I think he coach quite well. I think
Chelsea was a bit of a sham when
he went there, so I wouldn't be at
first to see...
If we're gonna go down that road, Of
course, where they should go is straight over
to Uruguay. And drag Marcel, Marcel marcelo Be
out of the office and get him
there. That'd be perfect for him. Fight and
if they can't get the elder, then go
and get somebody that money you like somebody
like Marine, who can win football matches, it's
all about fine margins tech ticks, and these
are the people who can get these sort
of things over the line with quality players.
But I imagine it will be 1 of
potter or how
we might go down the under 21 route,
which I just don't agree with a tool,
or it couldn't... I couldn't roll out with
this lot of clowns. Couldn't roll out F
Frank. Just imagine Brian Clark was never England
manager and Frank Lamb. Got it. Flipping dear
me.
I Anyway, beautiful, Lovely news.
Steve Williams. Was the first person. Let me
know I thank you, Steve. Beautiful.
I was out and about minding my own
business lovely.
Right. Let's get to the open championship. I
mean we've just at the end of the
euros. We've had the end of Wimbledon.
Now we've have got the finest sports event
of the year. Without a doubt, It's not
even a it's not even opinion. It's fact,
the finest sporting event, the hundred and 50
second open royal tron,
can't wait. I'm actually lucky enough to be
going for a couple of days I'm getting
the train up to
Scotland tomorrow. Hopefully, I don't get arrested for
hate crimes.
For saying
saying little things about the Scott's football team.
And we,
Yeah. Can safely navigate the open on Thursday.
I'm playing Renaissance where the Scottish open finished
on Sunday. I'm playing there Friday back to
the open on.
Saturday,
bit of lunch with some F fps guys
on Sunday morning,
watch the Gulf Sunday afternoon train back home
to B tea on Monday and lovely little
few days looking forward to it apparently though
it's gonna rain.
Pretty much non nonstop. But
there we go.
Right.
Royal true, so I'm gonna I'll talk a
little bit through my betting process for for
Golf as well. I'm gonna
hopefully bore you with it. But
I do like to have... I do I
do bet pre event. It's not my favorite.
Certainly in the majors I do, and I'm
gonna have a little go here, but it
is a very... Small part of my golf
betting for the bets I talked to you
now.
I only have small amounts on,
I bet them. I tend to bet them
set and forget that there's a couple of
players here where I'm gonna put caveats to
that.
And the majority of my golf betting is
done after 1, we've got a hundred and
58 players in this open championship.
By the time we get 2 Thursday night,
and they have all completed around about half
past night at night on Thursday.
And
without a doubt, there will only be about
20 to 30,
probably tops that can win it and a
hundred and 20 of taking themselves out of
it, and that's like pre event betting is
so hard.
You've got... You know, it's been particularly over
with people like Chef winning because can keep
doing it all the time,
you've got some horrific variants you've gotta to
get through. But of course, it's lovely when
you get a winner. But, like, you know,
I did have the winner to Cha. I
put up for the Us As an example.
24,
and betting. But
my... The majority of my money gets invested
after around 1. So I'm a lot heavier
on my trades after around 1 that I
put in the telegram room
for F fps, and this will be the
last week of those
I'm just gonna change the gulf set up
slightly and I'll have details of that
in August.
But
that... That's where the majority of my action
is, but these at these here, you know,
anything you do from here, you do at
your own payroll. I'm gonna talk you through.
I'm gonna do some caveats.
But,
1 of the first things that I do
particularly, with the open championship.
You know, it masters as you get repeat
winners because they I go back to the
same course. 1 of the things I do
with the open championship I always like to
look back at when it was last play
at that course,
the example that springs demand back Toe mirror
when he won the open. Because he'd finished
second when it had been back at Be
previously,
and you find that you find players who
plays well at S andrew if you look
at them on the leader board, I tend
to do well Sent Andrew's andrews again.
You know, so you find it because obviously,
these courses, throughs they get to know them
they get to lower the lines off the
teas. They they get to know the little
quirky bits around the green.
So the first thing I did was went
back and Had a look at the... Open
at royal True. And the thing that amazed
me, which I I remember watching this and
it was just a fantastic major,
Stint and Mick backing it out at T,
8 years ago.
What I'd...
I I always have a tent I'm not
this year I'm away, but I always have
a big barbecue on leak. Open champion something
I had a few people around sort cooking
food, drinking a few beers watching the gulf.
And what, I remember watching this is I
remember sitting there, we were chatting away that,
But what I couldn't remember is that they
were 11 shots clear a third. I mean,
S Beat Mick by 3 shots. He was
20 under. Mick 17 under. The next best
was Jb homes who was 6 under. They
are 11 shots clear. That's how much better
they were
than the rest of the the The crowd
that week.
You then had str
5 under, and then Mc and Hat both
4 under gas here was 4 under. He
he hasn't made the cut. And then Dustin
Johnson there, but names like And
Andrew Johnston, b fear
Simon Ke and Bill Hart, Matthew South gate.
I'm not sure. I think he might qualify
again.
But just amazing the sort of names in
there that you don't hear of anymore.
But how far clear they were, but, you
know, obviously, the key take from that going
into this week is mc and fifth so
mc managed to get it around. But he's
16 shots behind stint. And
you know, it's how much you put into
that.
But yeah, just really, really interesting that was
for me that, how far clear they were.
So... What I'm gonna do, I'm just gonna
run down the feel run down the betting
and give you my views on them and
who I'm punt pre tournament.
And I'll throw in those little caveats that
I've got, but this is a very small
part of my outlay for the week,
this tour tend to lay a bit more
out the masters because they play the same
course every week. So you can get a
bit more feel for it.
Tend But yeah, this 1 here, but the
greatest championship, The you're in for an absolute
feast of gold for 4 days. Even if
you don't like you should watch. It's fantastic.
Leading the market is She at 7 rightly
so he is streets ahead of anybody else.
If Apparently, he has,
shot 8 under up at
term brie in Scotland.
In in practice for this.
He is miles, You know, he is the
the tiger woods of his generation. Is miles
clear of anybody else's gulf is
sublime. He's been absolutely
brilliant in all year.
You know, a bad a bad week for
him is not finishing in the top 516
times,
you know, it'd be easy to say just
back him back him and don't do anything
else. I'm almost certain that some try... Sometime
he will trade shorter than that price.
What I tend to do pre event is
use him as a cover, So I'll do
my staking, and then I'll just have a
bit on him to cover my outlay and
I can trade a bit of that if
I want to and it just helps me
reduce my outlay if he does.
Because if he if he gets to go,
and he just runs away with these things,
and then you don't sort of get a
run for your money.
I expect him, you know, he's... He's had
a new baby. I don't know whether his
wife is flown over. I haven't looked to
being able to find that out.
But he just seems to... Doesn't... Matt nothing
seems to face him, he just seems to
be an absolute picture of relaxed focus,
you know, even when he got a rest
did earlier there. It's not knocked him off
track.
I think he might have won that event
if he hadn't got arrested, but you know,
he's come out in won comfortably since
so She at 7 right favorite,
favorites chance.
I expect a decent showing from him, but
I am gonna be taking him on with
a few. And as I said, we use
him as a bit of cover.
Second is Mc,
10.5 as I say fifth in the
fifth here last time it was played
4 under,
reasonable showing last week 14 under finished time
fourth.
Obviously, that was his first
trip out since
the Us open where
it has to be said he lost it
as brilliant as the cha up and down
was
a mc had it there to win.
Lost it. I've got a real sq about
Mc and majors. I don't... I'm not saying
he won't be up there. I think he's
almost know, 1 of them. You'll go top
10. You know, it'll it'll either hang around
and be top 10 or it'll be 5,
you off the pace and shoot a 64
last day. The backdoor top 10.
I don't wanna back in pre event. I
don't He's he's he's another 1 you could
back into trade. You know, when you're trading
Golfers is 1 of the things you gotta
do is there's certain golfers who the reaction
to them. Is completely different to anybody else
shuffle is 1. Mc is 1.
Shuffle is becoming 1 old s.
We'll get to team him in a minute.
And Jordan Sp is still. I you know,
Jordan Sp weighed down at 80 18 90,
But if Jordan Sp makes a couple of
birdie, he'll shoot in a lot more than
any other player that's 80 90. And that's
just because of who he is the history
of it. And you get to learn these
players that the market over reacts. That's what
it does. You know, we talk about efficient
markets, but it completely over reacts to certain
players.
Mc roy is 1. Mc roy, if he
makes a couple of birdie early. His price
will have.
And there's a limited downside to backing in
him, you could back Mc roy. And and
almost certainly be able to exit
during the tournament for for next to no
loss. So so there's certain players there. I'd
say those first 2 you wanted to back
them. You could back them, and you'd probably
still be able to get your money out,
Saturday, Sunday
around the same price.
You
unless they have an absolute disaster, which obviously
the risk you make. But
you know, even if Mac is start badly
to I made 3 birdie on Friday is
gonna come back into that price because people
think oh, here he comes.
But I'm I'm not backing in, but that's
just something that you... You know, if you
wanted to play around to 2 quid, you
could do that and see how the market
goes.
Next up is
shuffle.
I'm just gonna get his...
Just excuse me. Just changing my sheet.
And just before I finish on Macro, Let's
just give you mac
as I'm on this sheet,
Mac open history.
He obviously, is a winner 1 it at,
he won it in at Royal Liverpool
in 20 14. That was his last major
win, but he was
sick at Royal Liverpool. Last year, he was
third. It's in Andrews.
He's at a 46 at George's a cut
at port rash, but fourth but they'll sick...
Fifth here 20 sixteenth. Fourth at 20 17.
Second at Carlos 20 18. Third it's in
Andrews 20 22 top tied 06/20/2304
you know, he does... He he grew up
playing Links golf. He does play Links golf
well.
I do expect him to be up there,
come, another while expect him and Sheffield to
be up there.
Chef murphy's if he's up there I'd expect
him to go on and win it Mc
or, I don't think he will win it
personally. I'm not sure Mc wins another major,
personally.
I think having seen that chance. Certainly don't
think he's ever gonna win a masters.
But even when even when...
So I 20 22. In Andrews. He had
a chance. He just... The putter goes, whatever
it is. So...
But,
player I was gonna move on to is
za S.
I was very critical of him as a
as a player to get the job done.
He did win the Pga at Val hall,
and 1 it will, this year, full credit
to, looked like having a bit of a
wobble,
but got back on track.
Did his open performance. However,
he is tied 20. Was second at Ka
in 20 18, but then he's tied 40
first tied 26. Tied 15 tied 17.
So other than that 1 car hasn't at
a top 10 at the open,
could I get involved with him at 15,
no matter. And he's a solid player. Could
I get involved with him at 15? Absolutely
not couldn't touch him with a barge pole?
If he wins he wins, I don't think
he will,
but not for me.
Next is M,
in the betting he is 19.5.
I will be having... This will be my
first bet.
If you follow my golf, you will have
seen his name as crept back into things
for me recently, Myra.
He's a fantastic golfer folk, You know, his
peers often say he's the
the best iron player on tour. I think
Scotty She would have something to say about
that. But he is a fantastic golfer.
He was leaving a tournament, the century tournament
of champions in January 23, On wanna say.
He was leaning it by 4 going into
the back 9, and I was watching it.
And he he duff which. He had a
shot into a green only wedge no hundred
yards, and he flat da it.
And,
he's...
It took it. I think it really derailed
him. I think it just kinda thought he
was cruising a victory and he it derailed
him. And he is... He then tried to,
as they all do for whatever reason. I
mean, he's 1 2 majors. He's 1... He
he's he's 1 the.
He's won an open championship. I watched him
down at George when he won it. He
was absolutely in imp.
That week 67 64 68 66,
absolutely flawless.
And
and then they start trying to change their
swing you hit everything with a little cat
starts trying to draw the ball, trying to
change it.
He's gone back to what he knows best.
He's definitely playing better.
He this year. He has missed the cut
in the last 2 opens.
But I
I think
that if he gets his cutting going and
he was he was tied for last week,
same score as Mc roy, I think if
he gets his cutting Putter going, at which
it tends to be the weak point with
his iron play,
I think he could be a big runner
of this week. So I am
I am
backing M car where he's 19.5
in the wind market.
5.2
in the top 5 market 2.82
in the in the
in the top 10 market. I back all
3, sir, So for the first 5 goals
I give you, Back all 3, and then
I've got some higher prices that I just
back in the wind market and look to
trade them. So Mari however, I'm gonna back
him in 3 mark. It's wind, top 5
top 10.
The wind part of that, he is 1
because his putting can be a little bit.
If he...
It's if he trades down at sort of
45I
would remove my stake on him in the
wind market and just leave the wind... Leave
the the profit on the win.
He's definitely 1 if he's going well after
day 1, and I get to look at
the stats and when I'm looking at the
stats after day 1.
I'm really looking at how they're playing.
And I'm not really fast if they've had
a bad cutting day. It's very difficult to
cut well all 4 days and cut your
way to it tree. What you wanna do
is that their plans. If though somebody's had
a solid ball striking day hitting greens, hitting
fairway, not getting themselves in too much trouble,
you know, that's likely that it continue, you
just need them to have a couple of
good padding days. If somebody's hitting it all
over the place, certainly and, Scottish links goal
finding your game is not what you're gonna
do. So if you're... They're missing fairway and
think it's very difficult to hold of a
son come out the next day and start
firing it.
So that's what I'm kind of looking at
when I run those numbers and I have
a look on Friday morning.
So I'm not overly fuss town M cuts
on day 1. If he's up there, and
he's played solidly, he'll almost certainly would feature
in my trades
providing he's not too far back, and the
plumbing hasn't been a disaster. If Obviously, you
just want the pudding well. But if somebody's
up there having not played great, but he's
only had 24 parts, I think well, I'm
not fuss about him because they can't keep
doing that. Know, John Daly did do it
in the... When he won the Pga. And
Brian Harmon, Fair play last year, Brian Harmon
Pat his way the victory didn't miss a
pat,
you under 8 feet or week,
8 feet and under a week. And but
that's not the norm, That's not what normally
goes on. So,
M car, win
win top 5 top 10 for all of
these golfers, But Mari is 1, if he
trades down around 45I would take my wind
stakes. So if I 20 quid on him
at at 09:18.5,
I'd lay the 20 pound at 4 5,
just to leave myself a free bit with
the with the margin in between.
Next is
Ob.
I'll be honest. I couldn't touch him with
a barge poll. He led last week. He
provided a lovely trade for us last week.
Think he's definitely got a sq. I think
he played pretty poorly on the Sunday.
He's never played in an open.
And I don't certainly don't see him rocking
up here, and winning.
For me, I'm I'm quite bullish about that.
I'd much rather be delay in 19 than
considering back in it.
Good goal. He's had a big rise to
the game very quickly.
He was up there in the masters faded
away.
Yep he is good.
I thought he was I thought he was
poor last week in the last round. You
know, he he went from leader to shootings
ins.
Shot plus 3 in the last round, which
was the worst round of of
you know, the people up there. I can't
even find. I'm I'm going way down the
leader board. If find anybody over. The next
was Ro at at tied 26.
Everybody else was shooting 3 under 6 under
7 under 2 under. He was 3 over.
Find
he's got a definite sq from me again
finishing. You know, if young, he'll get better.
I couldn't touch him. I find it absolutely
staggering when I look at people like his
price at 21 in Hof at 40.
You know, Hof AAA
winner price Yeah. He's had his backup, but...
I just find it absolutely staggering that he's
half the price personally.
I'd much rather be on the lay side.
Next up is d Cha 22.
Brilliant, how you on the the
you know, whilst I said he lost it.
That the up and down he made in
that Us open was absolutely stunning at the
last.
I've watched it back.
In preparation for this. Just absolute stunning gold
shot and then to knock the pudding in,
really good really changing. I said after that
event, I back him for that event I
fancy him. He's changed a hundred percent he
has changed his persona which been a real
deliberate
effort to change it. He's, you know, he's
he's becoming somebody that you just want to
be on side. He's he's
fantastic what he did with a trophy when
he won it came around all the crowd.
He's great with youtube's,
trying to educate people,
yeah. He's still got his quirks, you know,
clubs all the same length balls in water,
but part of that makes him, but he's
he's lost that, you know, when he rolled
up at augusta and said this is a
past 6... 8 and
some of that nonsense that he came out
within the the long driving
competition days.
He's becoming dare I say it rather likable
I think he's gonna be golf
superstar.
I kinda find it a bit of a
shame that he's left and went to live.
But you know, that's probably allowing him to
do some of the stuff he's done.
Could I back him for the open championship
having said all that, no? He may well
go well, but he's got a mis cut
tied 51 mis cut tied 33.
Tide 8 at saint Andrews, which is a
bit wider and maybe suits him a bit
more. I'm in our shot level around there
to be fair.
And tied 60,
last year.
I just don't think this is a sort
of gold suits him. I think the the
American course is suit better.
It's gonna probably be a little bit wet.
So not for me.
Next is Tommy Fleet. Tommy Tommy Fleet.
1, I think got a sq. I don't
think Tommy
wins, anything like he should win events. He's
found wanting.
His putter goes missing when he is in
contention. That said, I am backing him for
this event because I think 26 is a
bit too big.
And he'll... I I'm I'm pretty sure he'll
be up there. I think even if it
rains and thinks he's got the game to
be up there.
I'd love him to win it. I'd love
him to win a major. I think he's
a really nice guy.
You know, his open career style of mis
mis mis cut.
He's then being 20 seventh 12/02/3304
tenth. You know, he's got 3 top tens
in the last 4 years.
Is a fantastic iron player, good at work
in the ball flight it up flight it
down, which you're gonna need this week.
So fleet wood is my second bet 26
6.83
0.6.
Very similarly if he trades short, and I'm
talking... When I say short, you gotta be
a bit patient. But if he is up
there,
going into the back 9 on Sunday and
he's sort of around 234I
would definitely be taking my stakes out just
because
It's when they think they can win. You
know, when it's suddenly dawn and the I
could win this,
his putter definitely as a tendency to go
cold.
But fleet would, as I say, these top
win top 10 top,
5
fleet would 26, 6.8 in the top 5,
3.6 top 10.
Next is Ty Hat. 32.
I mentioned in that last open Trim, he
finished tied fifth with Mc 4 under as
a say 13
13 shots behind Mick, 16 shots behind stint
and
gone to live. I don't like the guy.
I'll be honest. I think the way ab
behaves is some people find it funny. I
don't.
I don't doubt that he's a good golfer.
He's not for me. I just don't think
just don't think he's good enough to win
simple as that.
I think you you can't be as hot
headed as that. And I think it holds
him back as I'm amusing as people may
find it.
And I said the same about Ram a
few years ago.
So Hat
bypassed for me comfortably.
John Ram is the same price 32.
I mean, absolutely staggering to see John Ram
at 32
pit If we around 12 years, he'd be...
He'd be up around mac price 10:11. He'd
certainly be between mc
sheffield.
And
just shows you what
taking 500000000
sand, saying I don't need to earn another
penny,
2 years ago to taking 500000000
to playing 54 whole events.
I'll just look and I see Cam Smith
price down at 7 to you won this
2 years ago, John Ram price 32.
And it is down to Levi he's turned
up at the masters missed the cup Sham
He's turned up at the Pga being a
sham.
He pulled out the Us open a day
before.
Can't touch him with a barge pole at
the minute. I think it's a real Of,
you know, to see him go to the
other side was a real shame.
Some of the golfing played that start of
last year. I I talked about it, when
I did Gold puts and watching him down
at,
To Pines in to run up to that,
to the farmers. He was at absolutely superb.
If he gets it going first round He'd
1, I'd look out after the first round,
but I can easily
count him as a pre tournament bet.
Next is Holland,
Hof is priced at
40.
I just wanna actually so I'll keep... I'll
keep flicking between sheets. Let's just give you
just because people go, wrong where you just
sick that it's gone to live, but let
me, I'm just gonna give you.
That isn't the sole reason. I just think
that's affecting his
performance.
The
bra, he has been
he was second at royal Liverpool report 30
fourth at saint Andrews. He was third at
George. Eleventh at Port Rash mis cup 44
59.
So his open form So what Mean, he's
dino last year tied second,
and then he's down priced at 32.
I just can't see it this year. Been
playing so poorly and I'm going live simple
as that.
So next was,
Victor H,
who is priced at 40.
Victor Hof will win
Yeah makes... I'll make... I like to make
bold statements at times. As you know, I
think if you've... You're gonna bet, you've got
out the courage of
conviction and make statements. So I don't... Some
of them I make. Sort of,
tongue in cheek. But Victor Hof will win
a major, and I am pretty sure that
Victor H will win an open champion 1
of the reasons why a part of his
game that struggles is chipping and around an
open champion chip can pop from off the
green a little bit better, or he can
just play a little bump and run. He's
not got
float with thick grasses and things that you
can get in the states around the greens
bermuda grass and things. 3 open championships, 12
4 thirteenth,
solid golfer maybe hasn't been playing these best
this year, but I just love and I
said it earlier. I cannot see how H
is 40. Look some things just come down
a price. I cannot see how Holland is
40,
and Ob is 21.
I cannot for the life of me if
I was pricing them up. I couldn't have
them anywhere near that.
I have... I'm not saying Having the other
way around blood have to have Hof person
above Ob.
I do think he's gonna win a major
sometime time. So I am backing him H
47.8
in the top 5, 4.2
in the top. 10 market.
After Holland is Shane Lowry, lots of people
will be on Shane Larry
this week.
When you hear the name hang larry. You'll
hear people like Mc,
say,
fantastic links play, shane, hands of silver, hang
brilliant round the greens, great links player.
I like Shane Larry. I I think a
fantastic guy.
Another 1. I don't think he... He's won
anything like what he should have done.
Is Shane Lowry, a fantastic links player.
Type 37 tide 30 second tide ninth, mis
cut, mis cut, mis cut, mis cut, 1
at port rush 12:20
first. Mis cut.
I don't think that's a fantastically great links
player. He's had 1 top 10 at the
open in
what, 246,
08:10, 11 appearances.
He's at a win and 1 top 10.
He's had
5 of those he's mister the cut.
I think it's a little bit like, porch
is a good manager. It's all a bit
of a myth.
He's a very good golfer. He won superb
at Port Rush. You know? He's out in
front after 3. 1 superb. Fleet would didn't
lay what I talked about fleet within that
final round made it easy for him. Chance
didn't lay a glove on him. Putter went
cold,
but you still got go and do it.
Got to doing it. From front of your
home Crown Ireland, he did,
but I can't be backing in him this
way. I can't be touching him at 50.
I'm afraid.
Just not for me. Front Brooks cup because
also 50 cook car fancy strongly at the
Us open opening he went out and was
shocking.
I think his price is too big 50,
but you have to get shortlist, and I've
excluded in, but I couldn't... I couldn't put
anybody people said me Backing cup at 50.
I couldn't put you off it. I'll be
honest
and the other 1 at fifties has Gone
55 now. Is Bob Mc, who won at
the weekend,
Scottish open,
first Scottish winner for 20 odd years. Of
it, their own open,
very dodgy drop, as I mentioned in the
podcast yesterday just a proper moody drop. That
was,
of you know, you'd you'd be pissed off
if you're were Adam Scott. I'm not gonna
lie. But great to see him when and
you still gotta hit the shots. So you
topped the drop. He's still in temper. The
pat made a great Birdie at the last.
I think he's a lovely guy. I think
he's great for Golf, Great for British gulf.
2 wins this year he's becoming a serious
golfer. I loved afterwards he just said, I'm
gonna enjoy this. I'll turn up at the
open when I turn up, I'm gonna have
a beer with my family and savor this.
And that's absolutely what you should be doing.
But for that reason, Bob, I can't back
your, son. I hope you have a good
week. I think you might, but you might
turn up with a rage in tenants hang
sun, so I'm gonna leave you out.
The next 2 golfers are the final 2
that I'm backing aren't the flyers,
by flies. I mean, really big prices and
we'll get to those in a minute. Tom
Kim is 55.
I think this guy is destined
way, think he's destined a bit of bit
of a golf superstar, Fantastic player, a really
good player, really nice guy.
Played well last week, minus 12.
Key... Finished finished strongly 6 under on the
final day on Sunday.
He's 1, again, I think he'll be a
a future,
a future major champion.
I think Links golf suits his game and,
you know, last week, kind of back that
up again with the
12 under... Is very reasonable, you know, it's
not often people win back to back,
Scottish open and and open. So I just
like to look for somebody, but he was
second at royal liverpool last year.
You know, he can play.
1 of those the more he plays over
here. I think the better he's gonna get.
So Tom Kim at 55.
In the wind market, 11.5
in the top 5 market 5.9 top 10
is the fourth golfer.
I'm back in pre event,
and then the fifth golfer I'm back in
is the next in the bedding is Tony
Ph out at 60.
Small interest on Tony. He was 1 of
those who was
eighteenth clear last time, I think you tied
eighteenth.
With a bad final round shot 74.
Obviously, 8 years Only has 1 since.
You know, he was 1 that was famously
couldn't win and and any he did get
over line again, probably doesn't win enough for
his talent.
I think it could he could be monty
like Fe. He could go through his career
and not win a major. Get
and be, you know, pretty good and up
there, but just not get it done.
But at 60,
again, I just look at some of the
golfers below him and think I'd rather be
on fee out at 60,
than some of those shorter. And again, that's
1. He's 1 I'd probably look to if
he traded sub 10, I'd take my stake
out.
You know, so I leave the place bits,
But if he traded sub 10, I'd take
my stake out of him.
Tony Female. Let's hope you go, well, and
nice guy as well, really nice guy, Tony
Fin, Great to wear him talk. A good
family man got about 82 kids.
But I like him a lot I like
the way plays Golf,
just wish Again he'd all a few more
paths.
And then I've got what I call the
flyers.
And this is people who
Are just for me way too bigger price,
and these I will just back them in
the wind market and look to trade them.
1 of them is somebody who I have
followed. I normally picked 3 figure prices for
these.
I normally only do 1 or 2, but
I've got 3 today. 1
is somebody. I keep keeps saying we'll win
a major. He's got a win first. He
keeps coming second. He keeps finding a way
to snatch the feet from the jaws of
victory. He was a fantastic second in this
2 years ago to Kim Smith,
is Cameron Young, who is 90. It's just
too big a price for him.
If he gets it going, he is electric,
he can make Birdie after Birdie after Birdie.
He's just never got over the line. And
obviously, that plays a mental Gulf is Gulf
is without a doubt
the mentally toughest game to play.
People will come up with other sports, but
it is
it is an absolute mental
examination and and these... You know, I talk
about scarring betting when you don't win golf
tournaments tournaments and you keep getting beaten and
ways to get beat it mentally scars you.
Every facet of the game requires you to
be on, but this guy is a fantastic
stick player. I am absolutely convinced you will
win tournaments. I think he'll be a bit
like She when he wins 1. He'll win
a few,
and Cam young at 90 is my first
flyer.
As I say, I will look to trade
him.
Second is
Max H,
ridiculous price max, home in 1 80. He
hasn't got a great major record. He's a
fantastic goal for good golfer hard courses
to him to be 1 80
against again, You know, you... You you... It's
only... You've gotta look at it in comparison
to the field and the people below him
at better prices.
And I just can't just knocked back him
at,
1 80. He finished tenth. You know, you
had a top 10 in a major, then
he did it at the open last year
finished his tenth last year,
he's not played brilliant this year, which reflects
the price, but he's not a 1 80
shot
in any golf tournament on the planet anywhere.
He should not be a hundred and 80.
So Max Home 1 80.
And the final 1,
is a real sling in the dark. Remember
Todd Hamilton 1 ear in 2004,
you know, the open can throw up,
somebody gets it going, Todd Hamilton I was
up there that year, friend of mine played
in it.
We both went a final qualifying. He got...
You know, I didn't
and he played 2 rounds, and I walked
around with him.
And then we stayed up and watch the
last couple of days and Todd Hamilton, I
don't know whether the people remember it he
went around, he was chipping with a rescue
club just playing bump and runs with a
rescue club.
I think Mick finished Might finished second or
third thing.
And he was just... Yeah, just incredible,
Hamilton.
So you can't start. He was a massive
price.
So I'm going for 1 at a big
price that might just spring a surprise.
If I can find him Just calling up
there. In it... Is Victor Perez,
who is 300
end. I've just locked Team I can't. Well,
don't wait. Are there 300. He's 3 hun.
Almost like somebody's early me say Victor victory
was 03:10 a minute ago, 03:20.
Oops 03:20. Sorry yeah. And he is now
300
Victor Perez 300 is the final flyer.
Another player in the 3 hundreds, I can
put anybody off having a little 5 on
would be justin in Rose as well. Justin
Rose, Fair play and went through qualifying for
this.
You know, it didn't didn't get in
made himself go to qualifying, 1 the fine
1 the final qualifying, he picks it up.
Hasn't been playing too badly, Justin Rose, another
good player on bet on tough courses.
03:30. You could have a little 5 for
Justin Rose. But my 3 main flyers are
young 95 homer 1 70,
perez 03:20.
I will
I will post in the telegram room after
round 1, I will probably do it Friday
9
obviously, we'll be able to see the draw,
see who's playing mornings and afternoon, see what
the weather's like.
And that all comes into it, You know,
I like to have people who perhaps, they've
played well on the Friday,
on the Thursday afternoon and they're out early
on the Friday morning, and they can go
out, and make a couple of birdie. They
shorten up on the leader board. I'm looking
to trade them. So all that comes into
it. So I'll be having a good look
at that over the next couple of days,
and it will be in the F fps
telegram room. The trades after around 1, But
just to run you through my picks pre
tournament,
Mara,
19.5
wind market 5.2 top 5 2.82
top 10. Fleet with 26,
6.8
and 3.6.
Hof 47.8
and 4.2.
Kim 55,
11.5
and 5.9,
and fee now 60, 12.5
and 6.2.
And then the flies I'm throwing a few
quid at, young at 95 homer at 1
70
and Perez at 300.
He's back to 03:20 now a you're quick.
Have a enjoy the gulf. Greatest event of
the year. Have great fun South gates gone.
It's a beautiful day,
and I'll be back with you also.